China American Cold War

In mid-2018, the US declared the China American Cold War a go. It comprised a series of ratcheting trade tariffs by the Trump Administration directed at China. these were directed largely at shifting global manufacturing supply chains, especially in technology, away from China. The measures were directed specifically at China’s stated aim of dominating global technology, artificial intelligence and robotics by 2025.

Other dimensions of the growing Great Power conflict included freedom of navigation through the South China Sea where China had constructed series of far-flung militarised atolls that armed the distant approaches to its mainland and effectively claimed that ocean as sovereign Chinese.

The Cold War was also concentrated around Chinese ‘sharp power’ which had made significant inroads in influencing policy outcomes within the US alliance network in and around the Asia Pacific via bribes, debt diplomacy and corruption of media.

The China American Cold War showed all of the characteristics of an historic, ideological struggle between liberal democracy and statist growth that had defined the 20th century battle between the US and the Soviet Union.


Pro-democracy protesters trash Hong Kong parliament

Via the ABC: Hundreds of protesters have stormed Hong Kong’s parliament, destroying pictures and daubing walls with graffiti on the anniversary of the city’s 1997 return to Chinese rule. Protesters whacked away at thick glass windows until they shattered and then pried open steel security gates. The three-hour occupation of the Legislative Council ended after


The trade war truce nothing burger

Via Morgan Stanley: And so it has come to pass: The much-anticipated meeting between the US and China is over. While we await further details, here are our reactions and takeaways, as we parse the initial readouts. This is an uncertain pause – no immediate escalation, but still no clear path towards a comprehensive deal.


Secret planning underway for US naval base in Darwin

Somehow I missed this during the week, at the ABC: Secret planning has begun for a new port facility just outside Darwin which could eventually help US Marines operate more readily in the Indo-Pacific. Precise details remain tightly guarded but senior defence and federal government figures concede the proposal may risk angering China even though


Prosperity without freedom is just another form of poverty, Gotti

Previously from Gottiboff: My business friends tell me that when they talk to top government people in China, they are alarmed to discover that China is very unhappy with Australia. China has decided, without fuss, and on a step-by-step basis, to punish us for our bad behaviour. They have chosen to target our soft underbellies


A taste of Angry China in action

A taste of the future for those so enthusiastic about embracing China as Australia’s new hegemon: Ha!!! Watch this chinese Foreign Ministry fool explain what happened in Hong Kong (with chinese characteristics). This revisionist version is a bit too soon for everyone to forget what really happened. #HKexit #lies #NoExtraditionToChina — Kyle Bass (@Jkylebass)


Greg Sheridan destroys the China inevitability myth

Bravo Geg Sheridan who deconstructs ScoMo’s official view of China: Mistake No 1: The PM says China has the “biggest economy in the world in terms of parity purchasing power”. This nonsense statement reflects the weird attachment the bureaucracy has to making these absurd claims about the Chinese economy. Let’s be clear: the US economy


Australia not very secretly leads Asian free trade push

Via Domain: Trade representatives from more than a dozen countries have flown into Australia to conduct highly secretive negotiations on a mega deal that will sideline the United States amid the ongoing economic fall-out from the US-China trade war. All 10 ASEAN member states and their partners; China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand and


Angry China fumes in Australian parliament

Angry China has so far made a series of terrible blunders. First, it quietly invaded Australia with bribes and influence networks that got sprung. Second, it backed itself into a corner on the trade war. Third, it arrested all kinds of foreign nationals and applied punitive trade practices to supposed friends, including on Australia. Fourth,


With each passing day, China is pushed out of the global economy

Via Bloomie: The U.S. is willing to suspend the next round of tariffs on an additional $300 billion of Chinese imports while Beijing and Washington prepare to resume trade negotiations, people familiar with the plans said. …The U.S. won’t accept any further conditions on tariffs as part of reopening negotiations and no detailed trade deal


Roubini: All out trade war inevitable

Via Nouriel Roubini: The nascent Sino-American cold war is the key source of uncertainty in today’s global economy. How the conflict plays out will affect consumer and asset markets of all kinds, as well as the trajectory of inflation, monetary policy, and fiscal conditions around the world. Escalation of the tensions between the world’s two


Pentagon launches China containment plan

Via Peter Jennings at ASPI: The United States is rapidly restructuring its military presence in Asia and rethinking how it could fight a major conventional war in the area which the Pentagon has identified as the ‘single most consequential region for America’s future’. This will have important strategic consequences for Australia. The Indo-Pacific strategy report released this


China can’t dump US debt

Via FTAlphaville: The pace at which China is selling its holdings of US Treasuries has accelerated dramatically since the beginning of 2018. Against the backdrop of the escalating US-China trade war and other protectionist measures, the move has sparked concerns that China is actively weaponising its position as the largest foreign creditor to the US government. The fear is


Goldman launches US/China trade deal barometer

Via Goldman comes the market for anything: Given the assumption that the observed datapoints are normally distributed, barometer readings can be seen as the market-implied probability for a “trade deal” if one believes the historical highs (Jan 19) or lows (Mar 18) over the past 18 months are in fact reasonable representations of those outcomes.


Uhlmann: Straya a China pussy

Via Chris Uhlmann comes a rare voice of sanity: What is it that terrifies the people of Hong Kong about the Chinese Communist Party that eludes so many pliant Australian academics, business leaders and ex-politicians? In the same breath, some local cognoscenti lament the Australian government’s weakness in barely mentioning the troubles in the Chinese


Labor’s China hacks dance on Hong Kong’s grave

What a pack of treasonous arseholes Labor are. Via The Australian: Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews says he is “very proud” to have signed his state up to Chinese President Xi Jinping’s controversial Belt and Road Initiative on trade and investment, despite his West Australian Labor counterpart, Mark McGowan, this week rejecting China’s push for his state


Barnaby welcomes his new Chinese overlords

Good on Barnaby Joyce for debating the implications of Hong Kong for Australia at Domain: In its entire post-First Fleet history, Australia has not had to contend with the larger intercontinental political issues in isolation from its cultural and philosophical alliances. We’ve always had a larger, stronger partner. In the future we may have our


More big tech production bids China adieu

Via Bloomie: Alphabet Inc.’s Google is moving some production of Nest thermostats and server hardware out of China, avoiding punitive U.S. tariffs and an increasingly hostile government in Beijing, according to people familiar with the matter. Google has already shifted much of its production of U.S.-bound motherboards to Taiwan, averting a 25% tariff, said the people, asking not to be identified discussing


China seeks WA ‘Belt and Road’ secession

Via The Australian: China is pushing for Western Australia to join Victoria in signing up to President Xi Jinping’s controversial Belt and Road Init­i­ati­ve, with a senior official urging the McGowan government to seize the “historical opportunity” of a deal aimed at boosting trade and investment links. Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews broke ranks with federal


China steals everybody’s ANU data

Via Domain: China is the key suspect in the theft of huge volumes of highly sensitive personal data from the Australian National University, which intelligence officials now fear could be used to “groom” students as informants before they move into the Australian public service. The hacking, which occurred despite the government’s elite electronic spy agency


AFP raids journo after Chinese spy expose

Via Herald Sun: Federal police officers are raiding the home of News Corp Australia journalist Annika Smethurst over a story about a secret government plan to spy on Australians. …“The matter relates to an investigation into the alleged unauthorised disclosure of national security information that was referred to the AFP. “Police will allege the unauthorised


Wolf: US and China entering 100 year war

Via Martin Wolf at the FT: Across-the-board rivalry with China is becoming an organising principle of US economic, foreign and security policies. …A framing of relations with China as one of zero-sum conflict is emerging. Recent remarks by Kiron Skinner, the US state department’s policy planning director (a job once held by cold war strategist


China unleashes giant trade war tit

Via Bloomie comes the trade war for teets: A2 Milk Co. led declines among infant-formula providers in Australia and New Zealand after China unveiled a plan to boost local output and reduce reliance on imports. China aims to exceed 60% self-sufficiency for baby formula and improve the quality of domestic brands in its $27 billion