Via JPM: According to JPMorgan’s Nikolas Panigirtzoglou, retail investors appear to have been mostly behind the recent rally (although the Robinhood army has yet to fully engage), and indeed the buying of physical gold ETFs, a major vehicle used by retail investors, rose steeply in recent weeks, making this year already the strongest on record with still
And up she goes! Via ZH: For SLV, the number of RH users holding the ETF has surged from around 15,000 to 20,000 in the last few days… … making it the 16th most popular pick on Robinhood as of the past 24 hours. In GLD, we have seen less of a sudden surge so
And running. The Lunatic RBA’s AUD thermal is still in play: Yields dead: XJO is flat: Big Iron is soft: Big Oil as well, barring the evil Santos: Big Gold is running after solid results from NCM and EVN, not to mention the incipient gold bull market: Big Banks have faded the DoleHider bounce as
The AUD is still bubbling away this morning despite Victoria’s virus calamity (thanks RBA): Bonds are dead as the Dodo: Stocks have backed away from resistance but the chart is bullish: Gold is the story de jour. Up she rockets: Big Iron has been sucked down by an ordinary BHP print: Big Gas is OK:
by Chris Becker With yet another industrialised nation announcing a record government deficit (Canada this time with $300bn, close to our own $240bn), and central banks furiously papering up over massive cracks in the global economy in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, it’s no wonder that the Minsky Metal is on a tear, almost
The Australian dollar is still trying to push higher this morning. The chart is still bearish: Bonds are stable: Stocks are struggling despite another drunken night on Wall St: Big Iron is OK: Big Gas is struggling: Most of Big Gold is coiled in an ascending triangle pattern looking for break out: Big Banks are
DXY resumed falls last night: The Australian dollar was pretty soft all things considered: Gold finally broke out to new closing high: Oil struggled: And dirt: Miners were strong: EM stocks too: And junk: Bonds were soft: The great bubble inflated some more: Westpac has the wrap: Event Wrap US Administration spokesmen continued to discuss the
Via Goldman: Historically, gold’s relationship with inflation is non-linear. Gold does not display a strong correlation with inflation while the latter is moderate but becomes strongly correlated when inflation gets above a certain threshold. Gold also tends to go up moderately in deflationary environments. In fact, we find that what matters most is the deviation of inflation
BofAML calls it: Gold prices have performed well in the recent period As the ultimate store of value, gold prices have performed well during the past 15 months, posting a rally of over 10% since the Federal Reserve did a monetary policy U-turn in January 2019. Gold has also delivered a strong performance against other asset
The answer is a qualified yes for USD priced gold: Gold will run as the underpinnings of the USD weaken. There is plenty of that going on with the mass demolition of both fiscal and monetary discipline. Further upside will come if we see any kind of global recovery and capital floods out of the
Here it is: In Aussie dollars it is very shiny: Yet most prominent local miners are lagging badly (with a few notable exceptions) What gives? It’s not entirely clear why gold is rallying given DXY is also on a charge. There are two possible explanations. First, as COVID-19 threatens a pandemic, gold is bid as
Clyde Russell asks an uncharacteristically stupid question: Is Australia the ultimate commodity hedge? When looking at the country’s natural resources the focus tends to be as its status as the world’s biggest exporter of iron ore and liquefied natural gas (LNG), and its competition with Indonesia as the top shipper of coal. But this ignores
Literally like a mushroom cloud. AUD gold is at a massive new record highs this morning ans still climbing: Why? Get a load of this lot. First, after further US/China trade tariffs, CNY is crashing: Markets now fear that Trump will order his Treasury to intervene in the USD, a big bullish gold play. Second,
So says Jim Rickards at the AFR: He said there is only a 35 per cent chance of a recession in the US over the next year, thanks to the Federal Reserve’s change in monetary policy direction in July when the central bank cut rates by 25 basis points to 2-2.25 per cent. …He said
Here’s the chart: The BTC news flow has been a bit rough with Barclays pulling the pin: The most prestigious banking relationship in crypto has ended. Barclays, the London-based global bank, is no longer working with cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase, industry sources told CoinDesk. And while Coinbase found a replacement in U.K. upstart ClearBank, according to
AUD gold is blasting along at new record highs today at $2240 give or take: Miners whoa: Making BTC look boring, though it is hanging onto its gold link: There’s no end in immediate sight but I remain quite concerned that the rally will reverse quickly if we enter true risk off complete with a
Australian dollar gold is at new record highs today: Amusingly, “digital gold”, otherwise know as Bitcoin, is also on the charge: And its relationship with gold is holding: This is kind of impressive, in its own way, given the Trump Administration has declared war on it, suggesting it is the precise opposite of a safe
Van Eck is bullish, at the AFR: Joe Foster, who picks gold stocks for VanEck’s 63-year old International Investors Gold Fund, said Australian gold miners are generally well managed but are unusually prone to locking gold prices into multi-year hedge arrangements. “Australians have more of a propensity to hedge than their North American counterparts. I
A picture is worth a thousand words: The MB Fund rotated from iron ore miners to gold miners a month or two ago. I still worry that if this global shock really gets going then gold will also suffer as the USD attracts a massive safe haven bid. There is also the concern that with
Via Ray Dalio: One of my investment principles is: Identify the paradigm you’re in, examine if and how it is unsustainable, and visualize how the paradigm shift will transpire when that which is unsustainable stops. Over my roughly 50 years of being a global macro investor, I have observed there to be relatively long of
by Chris Becker We’ve seen Bitcoin crater in recent days, but the true fallout from the G20 trade war truce maybe the real Minsky Metal – gold. Yesterday saw the biggest one day fall in over a year, nearly 2% to $1384USD an ounce after recently hitting a six year high before the summit, with
Beware the magazine cover indicator! The AFR went BTC wild yesterday: …bitcoin is back in a big way. The virtual currency has jumped by 50 per cent over the past three weeks. As for what’s next, the boom and bust of 2017-18 is both a warning of what can go wrong and a promise of
The AUD is down a little through the morning with no misbegotten RBA utterances to keep it aloft: XJO is down marginally: Aussie bonds are up: Bitcoin and gold are upperer: Dalian is soft: Big Iron up anyway: Big Gas is meh: Big Gold to the moon! Big Banks are all over: Big Realty is
DXY fell hard Friday night. EUR jumped, CNY fell: The Australian dollar was firm: Despite the bounce, the market actually got more short AUD last week at -65k contracts: Gold tried and failed again to break out: Oil rose: Metals were soft: Miners too: EM stocks fell: High yield too: Treasuries were bashed: Bunds smashed:
The Australian dollar is soft in the circumstances of a falling DXY today: Bonds are madly bid: XJO is thundering towards record highs as the equity risk premium surges: Dalian an outright bubble now, ignoring all bad news: Not so much Big Iron: Big Gas is ignoring bad news too: Big Gold is moon shooting
Bitcoin is back: I won’t even pretend that this is sustainable. Nothing has changed for crypto in my book. It is as worthless and useless as ever. With the same inbuilt contradiction: that if it succeeds it can only fail, given it’s only purpose is subvert a fiat currency system that it does not control.
From some dill at Domain: Gold has just had its longest winning streak in 18 months, as investors get nervous about the impact of the Trump trade wars on economic growth, and the US Federal Reserve looks likely to cut rates. Once again, excitement surrounding the “quasi-currency” metal is building – and the gold bugs
by Chris Becker Gold has tracked higher alongside the Trump government shutdown and following the January FOMC meeting overnight, has now burst through the $1300USD per ounce level to make a new six monthly high priced in USD: The Fed’s shift into a somewhat dovish stance was not based on the underlying US economy – although
by Chris Becker What’s going on with gold? While there has been some recent weakness in the US Dollar Index, 2018 was the year for USD against almost all the major currencies as the US Federal Reserve continued to lift interest rates in an attempt at normalisation. Still, the price of gold in USD rose
Via Bloomie: The U.S. dollar may be poised to decline, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday boosted the chances that the central bank will pause interest-rate increases, strategists at Goldman wrote in a note Saturday. Powell cited the events of 2016, when rates were kept unchanged through
