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US Economy
Previewing US CPI
Morgan Stanley with the note. Core inflation moves sideways in December, at 0.28%M (vs 0.28%M prior, and 0.2%M consensus).
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
2
Get ready for interest rate cuts
US shares rose and bond yields fell sharply after the US Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and signalled that its policy tightening of the last two years is at an end.
Leith van Onselen
2 years ago
11
US financial stress mounts
Cross-posted from ZH.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
US credit crunch casualties mount
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
Unhappy Americans point to Trump victory
TS Lombard with the terrifying analysis. November consumer sentiment as tracked by the Conference Board was released and the spread between present and future expectations point to recession, perhaps one is already underway yet undated (doubtful).
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
5
2024 the year of interest rate cuts
Except for Alboflated Australia, of course, where falling living standards will include lower wage growth, rising unemployment.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
2
US credit choked
Bank credit keeps draining away: Big and small: Down 1% year on year now.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
1
US economic landing dead ahead
This has to become a problem soon.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
2
Here come the rate cuts
In the US, not Australia.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
1
US CPI preview
BofA with the note.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
2
US credit nose down
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
3
No government shutdown but austerity anyway
Austerity of sorts.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
US credit squeezed in Fed vice
US bank credit continued to fall last week: Large and small: Year-on-year is still falling: Deutsche has produced a great chart of financial conditions.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
2
US budget hits the brakes
TS Lombard with the note.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
US credit strangulation tightens
US bank lending was not terrible last week with a small rise: Big and small firmed: But we are still well negative year-on-year: Under the surface, the tightening continues.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
1
How high will US interest rates go?
TsLombard with the note.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
1
US credit crunch returns
Not surprisingly, the US credit crunch has returned.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
1
US credit crunch re-intensifies
Bank lending fell last week: And remains down year-on year: The keenest source of stress is SMEs: Look for the yield shock to tighten on this segment again over the next few months as balance sheet losses on Treasuries trigger further bank restructuring.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
US jobs perfection but inflation resurgent
The US jobs report was perfect for landing pundits.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
2
US jobs preview
Calculated Risk with the note.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
Oil breaks the US consumer
BCA with the note.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
3
Where is the US recession?
US lending continues to fall.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
2
US credit crunch advances
US bank credit rose marginally last week but still fell further year on year: It will be interesting to see what effect the latest round of rising yields does to small banks.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
US credit crunch rolls on
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
RBA won’t raise interest rates chasing oil. Fed will
The RBA minutes: Members commenced their discussion of the global economy by observing that headline inflation had continued to ease in year-ended terms in most economies because food and energy commodity prices were generally lower than they had been a year earlier.
David Llewellyn-Smith
2 years ago
8
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