Macrobusiness Chartfest 12 May, 2018

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AUSTRALIA

Australian Federal Government Balances since Federation – note the 50s & 60s, our government is looking to debt load and dissipate with population ponzi again.

Australian government debt to GDP – we have driven it higher to bloat property prices and trash our education sector, while exporting the non-mining or agriculture external facing sectors of the economy

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Budget 2018 – benefits over time. A great budget for the rich to just sit and wait for the money to start flowing to them.

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Budget 2018 – top 20% and beneficiaries. A great budget for the rich to just sit and wait for the money to start flowing to them.

Budget 2018 – the relief that never really relieves

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RBA rate hike expectations – endlessly receding Tanguy horizon

Housing Finance and Prices

Housing commitments

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Iron ore supply in China

UNITED STATES

United States – Total Consumer Debt

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United States – teenage labour participation

United States – labour participation 1990 onwards

United States – Initial Jobless 2005 – 2018

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United States – income growth

United States – Private sector yields and industrial production

United States – Recession probability since 1986

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United States – Economic recovery durations

United States Stimulus and Unemployment

United States – Household equity exposure

Jobless adjusted for age

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Age of US housing stock

EUROPE

Irish contribution to Eurozone exports

Greece Unemployment

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CAPITAL MARKETS

Global private sector debt creation (and just how private is anything in China?)

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Major Global Central Bank positioning over time

Emerging Market currencies April-May 2018

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Argentine Peso – Look out below

Turkish Lira

US Treasuries – Flatten that curve baby

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10 Year yields

United States – Germany 10 year spread

United States Corporate Debt maturity profile

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Emerging Market US dollar denominated debt maturity profile

Foreign Currency debt to GDP – selected nations

LIBOR – OIS Spread

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Buybacks and the S&P500

GLOBAL MACRO

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Selected nations population growth – post 2008

Global Economic Momentum

Global Central Bank balances

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The scale of the global pension dilemma

The Global Working Poor

Africa – GDP per capita by country 2016

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OECD and selected others – Industrial Production and Momentum

Energy related carbon dioxide emissions

Interest rates over the really long term