NSW Government spruiks “30-minute city” delusion

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By Leith van Onselen

With Sydney’s population projected to surge to around 8 million people by mid-century:

The NSW Government has today promised a more livable city, whereby residents can get to where they need to go in just 30-minutes. From The AFR:

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Planners envisage that by the middle of this century most Sydneysiders will be able to reach their place of work within 30 minutes using public transport or “active” options such as walking or riding.

The NSW government has released its Future Transport Strategy 2056 report, which suggests investment will increasingly be focused on “three cities” built around Western Sydney Airport, Greater Parramatta and the existing CBD.

“Customers will be able to travel to one of these cities or to their nearest centre within 30 minutes of where they live by public or active transport,” the report states.

“This will give people better access to access jobs, eduction and essential services.”

The report suggests getting people out of their cars and using sustainable transport will reduce congestion and emissions and improve air quality and wellbeing.

“Well planned centres and cities will enable a shift from private cars to public transport and active transport modes such as walking and cycling,” the strategy says.

“In Sydney, the key to this will be the delivery of three 30 minute cities, supported by reliable ‘turn up and go’ mass transit services”…

The report notes that by 2056 NSW will have more than 12 million residents. Sydney will be a global city similar in size to London or New York…

Transport Minister Andrew Constance said: “We want to improve public transport and roads so, that by 2056, 70 per cent of people live within 30 minutes of where they work or study.”

What are these fools smoking? Did they not read Infrastructure Australia’s latest report, which revealed that no matter what Sydney does to cope with its population (read migrant) influx – i.e. builds up, spreads-out, or does a combination of the two – public transport’s modal share will barely increase, road congestion will dramatically worsen, and access to jobs, schools, hospitals and green space will all deteriorate as Sydney’s population balloons to 7.4 million people by 2046 (let alone to more than 8.5 million by 2060)?

Motherhood statements and deluded visions of grandeur won’t change the dystopian future facing Sydney residents, who will be living like battery chooks in high-rise apartments (see below charts), traveling on congested roads, or packed like sardines onto crush-loaded trains.

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The least the NSW Government could do is present the situation honestly and demand the federal government slash the migrant intake to ease the pressure on bearing down on Sydney.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.