Gotti’s 10 reasons investors fear Australia

Advertisement

From the Old Dog:

  1. [If Glencore goes] That would mean the value of all mining assets would fall sharply.
  2. The Gladstone LNG plants face a testing time so Santos and Origin shares have been pummeled.
  3. Australia is reluctant to alter its spending and living standards.
  4. Those who have invested from overseas [in property] are being toweled by the currency fall and are telling their mates.
  5.  There is a real estate bubble in Australia of huge proportions.
  6. If the apartment boom cracks along with the mining boom Australia will face a severe recession.
  7. We have a government that is way out of its depth.
  8. There is no real debate about infrastructure alternatives.
  9. Instead of embracing the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement we allow the building unions to hijack the debate.
  10. Australia is going to be caught on the wrong side of the carbon/emission trading debate.

Let’s add a couple more:

11. The whole idiotic box and dice is externally funded.

12. Sovereign downgrades are near certain.

Advertisement

13. We have a near-terminal dose of Dutch Disease.

14. The RBA thinks everything is awesome.

Good job, Gotti (if ten years too late), though often the arrival MSMers signals short term relief.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.