Houses and Holes


Would you rather get poorer in Sydney or Melbourne?

As Leith described so beautifully this morning, thanks to crazed levels of immigration the denizens of Victoria have been trapped in a whirring rat wheel economy for a decade, running full tilt while sliding backwards: Domainfax has produced a delightfully Seinfeldian take today on why Sydney should compete to occupy the same rodent trap: My


Mortgage growth to fall sharply

From Deutsche: Repricing of interest-only mortgages In recent weeks the majors have announced repricing initiatives targeted at interest-only (IO) mortgages. While they raised IO rates by 30-35bps, owneroccupier principal & interest (P&I) rates were reduced by 3-8bps. These moves were responses to regulatory restrictions aimed at dampening housing risks rather than responses to the bank


Consumer cash crunch intensifies

From Morgan Stanley: The consumer is not relaxed and businesses are struggling to relate. Recent reports from our sector teams add support to our crunch time thesis around the domestic cycle cash flow squeeze. Filling the cracks with materials is something to consider given meaningful PT upside (MS and Consensus). Consumption Crunch Playing Out: Discretionary


OMG there actually is a PonziCoin

Via Bloomie: Michael Novogratz says cryptocurrencies could be worth north of $5 trillion in five years — if the industry can come out of the shadows. “The Nasdaq got to $5.4 trillion in 1999, why couldn’t it be as big?” the former hedge fund manager said in an interview, referring the Nasdaq Composite Index. “There’s


Fortescue’s discounting disaster continues

Via UBS: Innovation projects for FY 18 announced FMG has provided an update on its continued investment in projects to improve safety, productivity and efficiency. Productivity initiatives to include: 1) further roll-out of autonomous haulage technology (AHS or driverless trucks) at the Solomon Hub, 2) rollout of AHS across the Chichester Hub from FY 18


Shorten fiddles while wages burn

Via the ABC: Federal Opposition Leader Bill Shorten has vowed to reverse cuts to Sunday penalty rates if Labor wins the next election. Mr Shorten made the pledge at an Australian Council of Trade Unions conference in Sydney, as workers in the retail, hospitality and fast-food sectors prepare for a reduction in their take-home pay


Westpac pulls low doc, battens down the hatches

Via Banking Day: Westpac has swung the axe on a range of alternative mortgages marketed by its Bank of Melbourne and Bank SA subsidiaries. In identically worded memos sent to mortgage brokers on Tuesday, BoM and Bank SA announced that their fixed and variable rate low doc home loans would be withdrawn from sale on


Has the cult of the Naked CEO sunk the CPA?

There is nothing more precious in this life than your reputation. Not least if you are an auditor! Does anyone remember Arthur Anderson? Via the AFR: Government regulator the Professional Standards Councils has confirmed that public practice CPAs in Victoria will lose their protection from multimillion-dollar malpractice lawsuits, and that CPAs in other states and territories are also


Loon Pond bubbles over

Via the AFR: Malcolm Turnbull must put more conservatives in the cabinet and demote Christopher Pyne if he wants to hang on to his leadership and prevent civil war, senior conservatives say. As Tony Abbott stepped up his campaign to topple Mr Turnbull with a provocative speech over policy direction, the Prime Minister sought to


Iron ore rockets as Li Keqiang backs growth

Dalian just went sick: Big Iron is following: The trigger appears to be a speech by Chinese Premier Li Keqiang in which described the momentum of world economic recovery as “insufficient“: Anti-globalisation voices emerging World political risks on the rise Momentum of world economic recovery insufficient economic growth needs to ensure fairness, sustainability limiting trade


Abbott: Cut immigration to take pressure off houses and wages

He sure ain’t going away: Tony Abbott has delivered a stinging rebuke to the Turnbull Government sharpening his own vision for the country and politics in Australia, promising he is “in no hurry to leave public life because we need strong liberal conservative voices now, more than ever”. In an address delivered in Brisbane this


Bloxo sees wages boom, baby, boom!

From Bloxo today: Sentiment indicators show a stark gap between businesses and consumers. While surveyed business conditions are around decade-highs and business confidence is well above average, consumer confidence is below average. Importantly, it’s not just a confidence effect – growth in household spending has been sluggish. The main drivers appear to be weak growth


CBA pounds specufestors with more hikes

And now for CBA: Commonwealth Bank recognises the importance of ensuring borrowers can sustain a strong path to property ownership and will be reducing our owner-occupier standard variable rate for those repaying principal and interest. From 7 July, customers paying off the home they live in will benefit from a lower standard variable rate of


Westpac slams brakes on SMSF specufesting

Via the AFR: Westpac Group is set to whack self-managed superannuation fund property investors with tougher rates, policies and processes in the lead up to this weekend’s changes to caps on lucrative tax concessions being imposed by the federal government. The changes will also coincide with the Westpac and subsidiaries, Bank of Melbourne, BankSA, St


Every man and his dog says buy miners

First, Market Matters (whoever they are): According to Market Matters analysts it’s not a crazy idea. Miners traditionally outperform during the upcoming period and after considerable pressure there could be a buying opportunity in some mining names. “Locally the market continues to underperform with stocks down by 1 per cent last week versus the US


Coalition confronted with wipeout

From The Australian: Analysis by The Australian suggests the Coalition would lose 20 seats — four in NSW, nine in Queensland, two in South Australia and five in Western Australia — if the election matched the state-by-state swings shown in the quarterly Newspoll survey published this week. Three cabinet ministers — Peter Dutton, Christian Porter