See the latest Australian dollar analysis here:
The RBA released its quarterly Household Finances ratios (B21 XLS table) yesterday, which highlights the following ratios going back to March 1977 (in most forms):
- Debt to Assets
- Housing debt to Housing Assets
- Debt to Disposable Income (total, housing and owner occupier)
- Assets to Disposable Income
- Interest Payments to disposable income
First, Debt to Disposable Income has been at ca. 160% since June 2006. The small decline in 2008 was rebounded by the “RuddPrime” mortgage increase, but that too is passing, and the trend is flat.
The asset to disposable income ratio has still not recovered from pre-GFC Episode 1 highs (September 2007), down approx. 10% in both financial and total asset values.
Finally, the serviceability of the outstanding debt requires 11.7% of total disposable income (9.6% for housing debt), which is well above the long term average at 7.5%, and the highs reached during the scorching 17% high interest rate period of the early 1990’s, but still below the pre-GFC high of 13.6% in September 2008.