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The Latest
The Overton Window is open on immigration
Leith van Onselen
60 minutes ago
Sunday night at the Macro: With gêne but no rationale
The 60 day ceasefire enabling negotiation of a final deal on the Straits of Hormuz ends tomorrow week.
The Real President Donald Trump, Mar-a-Lago, Palm Beach, Florida, USA
5 hours ago
Australia’s housing market correction remains entrenched
Cotality’s daily dwelling values index continues to fall across all major Australian capital cities. Over the past month, values have fallen by 1% at the 5-city aggregate level, with Sydney (-1.5%) and Melbourne (-1.2%) leading the decline and smaller falls recorded across the other major capitals.
Leith van Onselen
17 hours ago
14
AI Infrastructure Boom: Bubble or Real Growth?
Every time another tech giant announces billions of dollars in spending on AI infrastructure, the same question comes to mind: are we witnessing the next great technological revolution, or simply watching another investment bubble inflate?
Damien Klassen
17 hours ago
Beyond Screening: How Direct Indexing Solves the “Greenwashing” Problem in Ethical Investing
The ethical investing boom has hit a structural wall. For years, super funds and fund managers have funnelled billions into “Sustainable,” “ESG,” or “Ethical” Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
Damien Klassen
2 days ago
Labor’s immigration “cuts” have little credibility
By Stephen Saunders Since 2006, Big Australia has sailed on through seven prime ministers.
Guest
2 days ago
16
Weekend reading, videos and MB media appearances
Leith van Onselen
2 days ago
71
50,000 first home buyers face “painful adjustment”
New data compiled by The Guardian Australia from Housing Australia shows that 50,633 guarantees were issued in the first nine months after the Albanese government expanded the 5% deposit scheme on 1 October 2025.
Leith van Onselen
3 days ago
17
Godzilla El Nino warning
David Llewellyn-Smith
3 days ago
10
Coal exports separate NSW from Victoria
Alex Joiner, chief economist at IFM Investors, posted the following chart on X (Twitter) illustrating the massive difference in goods (merchandise) exports between NSW and Victoria.
Leith van Onselen
3 days ago
4
Data centres need coal like a hole in the head
LVO is back at the coalface with a blunt pick today.
David Llewellyn-Smith
3 days ago
5
Someone tell Bowen: data centres need stable 24/7 power
Leith van Onselen
3 days ago
14
More roaches seethe over iron ore
The ferrous complex remains under pressure amid mounting cross-currents.
David Llewellyn-Smith
3 days ago
3
Australia must aim for growth, not redistribution
Former senior Australian Treasury official David Pearl gave a fantastic interview on the John Anderson podcast where, among other things, he highlighted how economic policy in Australia has lost focus on growing the economy via productivity improvements and has become increasingly reliant on government spending and interference to drive growth.
Leith van Onselen
3 days ago
17
Stocks set course for the end of America
TME kicks us off.
David Llewellyn-Smith
3 days ago
2
Iran pivots to regime change in the United States
When you exploit and ruin a country for seventy years, should you really be surprised that when it wins the war against you, it is payback time?
David Llewellyn-Smith
3 days ago
14
Australian house prices are still 20% overvalued
Over the past week, the Australian media has been full of articles about the sharp decline in home values, with one commentator noting that Labor’s budget has triggered a housing slump that has wiped $230 billion from property values.
Leith van Onselen
3 days ago
29
House price correction scuttles homebuilders
The National Housing Accord’s target of building 1.2 million homes over five years, or 240,000 annually, is falling way behind, with only 307,635 dwellings completed over the first 21 months of the Accord, 112,365 (27%) fewer than the run rate required to meet the target.
Leith van Onselen
4 days ago
7
Super El Nino to deliver $7 coffee shock?
Sometimes it takes a personal angle to attract interest. I have been discussing the developing super El Niño for a couple of months without anyone taking much notice. The SOI (within its usual statistical parameters) is predicting a global food disaster.
David Llewellyn-Smith
4 days ago
17
Tanya Plibersek gaslights first home buyers
When Tanya Plibersek was Australia’s housing minister under the Rudd government, Labor relaxed FIRB rules for foreign buyers, including: Allowing temporary residents to buy established dwellings without prior FIRB approval Raising monetary thresholds for screening Plibersek argued at the time that these changes were justified to support housing demand during the GFC.
Leith van Onselen
4 days ago
4
MB Fund Podcast: Is the world building too many data centres?
Damien Klassen
4 days ago
China eats Germany alive
I knew it was bad, but not this bad. China is eating the German economy alive. Check out this chart from UBS. It will be even worse for German exports across the world (though it retains a large trade surplus) as Chinese exports displace German goods in all markets.
David Llewellyn-Smith
4 days ago
22
Victoria’s water privatisation fails public finance 101
Most of Australia’s previous privatisations were anti-competitive and led to private monopolies that harmed consumers and taxpayers. Our politicians embraced this agenda because it permitted them to achieve both lower taxes and lower public debt (in the short term) by simply shifting monopoly ownership from public to private hands.
Leith van Onselen
4 days ago
17
Iron ore overrun by “cockroaches”
Ferrous remains the outlier in the exaggerated dead cat bounce, popping a little without steel support, probably thanks to the Pilbara strike in two days.
David Llewellyn-Smith
4 days ago
Snowy Hydro 2.0 descends further into farce
When former Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull first announced Snowy Hydro 2.0 pumped hydro project in 2017, it was billed as a $2 billion project capable of producing 2 megawatts of power on demand and 350,000 megawatt-hours of storage by 2021.
Leith van Onselen
4 days ago
7
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