Iron ore enters the perfect storm

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The ferrous complex is buckling.

Steel output cuts are so far insufficient to lift steel prices. Iron must fall much further if steel mill margins are to be restored.

Weekly data from consultancy firm Mysteel showed that fewer than 40% of the 247 surveyed steel mills were profitable, a level last seen in October 2024. Both blast furnace capacity utilization and average daily output declined slightly from the prior week, indicating a pullback in production.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.