This is not the mining rotation you are looking for

Advertisement

As I have noted for many years, managing money successfully in Australia is as stupid as the structure of the underlying economy.

The only question before any fund manager that matters, given his/her reliance on relative returns, is whether to be overweight miners or banks.

Equally, for a year or so I have been arguing that the CBA bubble will not burst until fund managers prefer to invest in miners and that moment will only come when commodity prices, most notably iron ore and two coals, are a lot lower than they are today.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.