Pilbara killer ahead of schedule

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RIO’s treason mine has been brought forward again.

  • Pilbara iron ore achieved its highest Q2 production since 2018, recovering well from Q1 extreme weather impacts.
  • Simandou first shipment accelerated to around November 2025, with 0.5 to 1.0 Mt of shipments expected in 2025 (SimFer scope from Blocks 3 & 4).
  • Continued progress with our Iron Ore replacement strategy: Western Range opened on time and on budget, while Hope Downs 2 received all Government approvals in Q2.

Winning Consortium Simandou has confirmed a similar start-up date, so we can expect 2 mt per month from December and an acceleration to 10mt per month over two years.

It ain’t going to be pretty as Chinese steel demand keeps falling at 2-3% per annum for another⁣ five years.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.