Aussie mortgage holders plead for respite

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Twitter (X) user Oliver in WA posted the following stunning chart showing how Australians are heavily overweight in housing (4.5 times GDP) compared to other English-speaking nations.

Housing and equity market share

The same can be said about Australians’ mortgage debts, which are among the highest in the world when measured against incomes or GDP.

Household debt to income
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The following chart from Justin Fabo at Antipodean Macro shows that average outstanding mortgage rates in Australia are among the highest in the world.

Outstanding mortgage rates

As a result, the share of income that Australian households spend on principal and interest debt repayments is also among the highest in the world.

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Debt repayments to household income

Indeed, the surge in interest payments is one of the factors behind the record 8% fall in Australian real per capita household income.

Real household disposable income
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The good news for mortgage holders is that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is tipped by financial markets to cut the official cash rate by 1.0% over the remainder of 2025.

RBA rate tracker

As noted by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, a 1% reduction in interest rates would lower the average interest paid on household loans by around 1.5% of disposable income.

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Household interest payments

Be grateful for small mercies.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.