Canada’s Aussie economy turns disaster zone

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Justin Trudeau has delivered a nightmare economy for Canadians.

Last year, Canada’s population grew by more than 1.2 million people, driven almost entirely by net overseas migration:

Canada's population surge

This population surge has resulted in a severe housing shortage throughout Canada:

Canada housing shortage
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Housing starts have fallen way behind population increase:

Canada home building

As a result, Canada’s rental vacancy rate has plunged to an all-time low:

Canada rental vacancy rate
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In turn, Canada’s rental inflation has skyrocketed:

Canadian rental inflation

The population boom has also harmed Canada’s productivity, as business investment, infrastructure, and housing have failed to keep up.

Canada has suffered significant “capital shallowing”, which has reduced labour productivity (GDP per hour worked):

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Canada capital shallowing

Canada’s record population increase has maintained the illusion of growth, with aggregate GDP continuing to rise.

However, real per capita GDP is currently around 2017 levels:

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Canada GDP

Retail sales in Canada have also grown in aggregate but declined sharply in per capita terms, reflecting Canada’s malaise:

Canada retail sales
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Essentially, the aggregate Canadian economy is growing due to rapid population growth, but everyone’s slice of the economic pie (and living standards) is shrinking fast.

Last week, the National Bank of Canada published the below chart showing that Canadian business insolvencies rose to their highest level in 19 years in January:

Canadian business insolvencies
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Clearly, Canada’s economy is driving off a cliff, papered over by the most extreme immigration program in the world.

Canada is a text book example of what not to do if the goal is to increase the living standards of the incumbent resident population.

Sadly, Australia is following Canada down the same road with similar outcomes.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.