Kiwis abandon plunging housing market

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The latest mortgage data from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) shows that Kiwis continue to abandon the nation’s housing market following 4% of interest rate hikes from the central bank.

Only 14,252 mortgages were taken out in December 2022 – less than half the record 31,282 mortgages originated in March 2021:

New Zealand monthly mortgage commitments

Meanwhile, only $69 billion worth of mortgage commitments were taken out in 2022, down 32% year-on-year:

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New Zealand mortgage commitments

The collapse in new mortgage commitments is also reflected in sales volumes, which have more than halved from their peak:

House sales
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The overall slump in buyer demand is the key reason why New Zealand home values have crashed 15% below their November 2021 peak following 13 months of back-to-back declines.

It is also why the ANZ Bank forecasts a 22% peak-to-trough decline in New Zealand house prices.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.