When will lithium crash?

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Regular readers will know that MB has a more nuanced view of green metals than does the consensus. For instance, we are bearish on base metals like nickel and copper but bullish on lithium which really is in a super cycle. 

 Yet, even the latter will bust eventually. Lithium mines are like bulk commodities. One big new addition can boost supply enormously so the path for prices ahead will be strewn with major supply-response busts as well. 

When? Goldman has a crack at it.


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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.