Oops! Goldman gives up on commodities

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As noted many, many times, Goldman Sachs has been the leading Wall Street salesman for commodities in the last year. It has stuck to this narrative all the way through the correction, telling everybody to keep catching the falling knife.

Today it finally gives in, which is probably bullish, though my own view is that there is further material downside ahead first.

Goldman’s explanation for this poor call is largely obfuscation. The fundamentals of this cycle are no different from any other commodity cycle I’ve lived through.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.