Scared buyers desert plunging New Zealand housing market

Advertisement

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has released mortgage data, which shows that buyer demand has well and truly collapsed.

The total value of mortgage commitments plummeted 29% in the 2021-22 financial year, down massively from the 128% growth registered a year prior:

New Zealand mortgage commitments

New Zealand mortgage demand collapses.

The number of mortgage commitments issued has also crashed. There were only 14,952 mortgages originated in June 2022, which was the lowest June figure on record and around half the 27,105 mortgages originated in June 2021:

Advertisement
Number of mortgage commitments

Number of mortgage commitments halves.

The collapse in Kiwi buyer demand is unsurprising given the RBNZ’s aggressive interest rate hikes.

The REINZ’s latest agents survey showed that “rising interest rates” is the number one concern of Kiwi home buyers:

Advertisement
Major concern of Kiwi home buyers

Rising interest rates buyers’ number one concern.

The weaker buyer demand is also being reflected in New Zealand house prices, which have fallen sharply.

The REINZ’s House Price Index plunged 5.4% over the June quarter, with every major urban district falling.

Advertisement

June’s Trade Me property index also registered a “record breaking” monthly fall of 1.9% amid “skyrocketing supply”.

The RBNZ recently stated that it would continue hiking interest rates to contain inflation, which hit a 32-year high 7.3% over the June quarter.

Therefore, Kiwi buyer demand will remain weak and house prices will continue to fall. The writing is on the wall.

Advertisement
About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.