Chairman Dan cruising to another stomping election victory

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Despite mass ministerial resignations/retirements, Melbourne’s seven months of hard lockdowns, mass privatisations (despite promising otherwise), and a raft of other controversies, Daniel Andrews’ Victorian Government is cruising for an even bigger victory at the upcoming Victorian election:

The ALP on 59.5% has a large election-winning lead in Victoria well ahead of the L-NP on 40.5% on a two-party preferred basis, unchanged from November 2021, according to a special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll conducted from Thursday June 30 – Saturday July 2, 2022.

Victorian two-party preferred vote

The result of the Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll represents an increase in support for the ALP of 2.2% points from the 2018 Victorian State Election won by the ALP 57.3% cf. L-NP 42.7% and is on track to increase its already large majority in the Victorian Parliament.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.