Don’t fight the yield curve inversion

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It’s always the same. Whenever we’re late cycle and the yield curve inverts indicating a looming recession, bulls come out of the woodwork to describe why this time is different. Albert Edwards takes them to task:

Does the inversion of the US 10y-2y yield curveindicate a recessionis on its way? This is the question everyone is asking right now–even before the Fed tightening cycle has got beyond one paltry rate hike. Fed tightening cycles usually end in recession as they continue along this path until something breaks in the economy or markets.

But it’s not the Fed’s fault…apparently, it’s ours!

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.