What’s the COVID risk to iron ore and lithium?

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UBS with the note:

Supply risk rise as Omicron seeds in Western Australian resources sector

In contrast to most other jurisdictions, WA’s pandemic response to date has been akin to an eradication strategy; the State has had very low COVID occurrence. Local media have reported an Omicron breakout at the Kemerton lithium hydroxide refinery near Bunbury in Western Australia, with 13 of 17 cases in the Bunbury cluster on site (link). Positive cases and close contacts are isolating and work at the affected section at Kemerton has been halted. WA has mandatory vaccination requirements for most mining workers and 14 day isolation periods for positive cases and close contacts. If Omicron spreads further, current isolation requirements could cause disruption for miners and their suppliers, similar to what BHP and S32 experienced in QLD/NSW in Dec-Q 21 (link to BHP and S32 note). WA is the world’s largest supplier of iron ore and lithium (spodumene concentrate), but is also an important supplier of nickel, gold, alumina and LNG.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.