Why is US labour supply so tight?

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Goldman Sachs has released a new paper entitled “Why is US Labor Supply so Low?”, which is leading to wage pressures:

Goldman shows that US labour force participation rate has declined more since 2019Q4 than in most other developed economies:

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Goldman ascribes four main drivers of the US’ low participation rate:

  1. About one-half of the US labour force participation rate shortfall is attributed to generous fiscal support, which has likely discouraged labour supply.
  2. About one-third of the shortfall is attributed to the way in which fiscal support was delivered via generous unemployment benefits instead of job retention schemes.
  3. Roughly one-sixth of the shortfall is attributed to virus fears.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.