Why is US labour supply so tight?
Advertisement
Goldman Sachs has released a new paper entitled “Why is US Labor Supply so Low?”, which is leading to wage pressures:

Goldman shows that US labour force participation rate has declined more since 2019Q4 than in most other developed economies:

Advertisement
Goldman ascribes four main drivers of the US’ low participation rate:
- About one-half of the US labour force participation rate shortfall is attributed to generous fiscal support, which has likely discouraged labour supply.
- About one-third of the shortfall is attributed to the way in which fiscal support was delivered via generous unemployment benefits instead of job retention schemes.
- Roughly one-sixth of the shortfall is attributed to virus fears.
The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author

Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.