Population ageing will drive up wages

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Professor Charles Goodhart – professor emeritus at the London School of Economics – told a European Central Bank forum that population ageing across the globe will reduce the supply of workers, tighten labour markets and result in higher wage growth:

“In many of the key continental countries, the growth in the working age population is not going to slow, it’s actually going to decline. So all of the factors that have led to an increase in labour, the reduction in bargaining power that went with it, the decline in trade unions etcetera, all of that will now reverse. And we are beginning to see already… a quite rapid shortages of labour in many sectors”…

“It [will make] the availability of labour, from having been coming out your ears, to being hard to find, and people will bid up wages in order to deal with the shortages of workers that they will increasingly be facing, not just temporarily.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.