China’s $60tr property monster “frozen”

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Wall Street spruikers are steadily narrowing their bullish bets on the new “commodities supercycle”. Although headline indexes for commodities are still very high, they are increasingly reliant upon energy for any bull case.

As we saw last week, the numero uno copper and metals bull, Goldman Sachs, is hedging its bets big time:

We divide the total listed market cap into “Property” and “Non-Property” cohorts. In the latter, we continue to favor regulation beneficiaries that receive policy tailwinds, notably Semi, Software, Renewables, Autos, and Sportswear. In the former, we would look for alpha opportunities in late-cycle property plays, including brokers, copper/aluminum, and select consumers.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.