UK COVID cases continue to crash after reopening

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Just over a week ago, as UK COVID cases soared to 50,000 a day, an open letter in The Lancet medical journal from more than 1000 doctors labelled Britain’s ‘Freedom Day’ opening up a “dangerous and unethical experiment”.

As residents inundated nightclubs, pubs, bars and music festivals, experts warned that COVID cases could soar to more than 200,000 a day, resulting in a spike in hospitalisations and deaths.

Remarkably, the polar opposite has occurred. UK COVID cases have fallen for seven consecutive days, more than halving to only 23,511 as of Tuesday:

UK COVID cases

Crashing despite reopening.

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Sure, hospitalisations are rising:

UK COVID hospitalisations

UK COVID hospitalisations rising, but low overall.

And so are COVID deaths:

UK COVID deaths

UK COVID deaths low.

But both remain way below prior peaks.

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The reason for the UK’s success: the nation has the second highest vaccination rate in the world behind Canada:

UK covid vaccinations

UK has second highest COVID vaccination rate.

The lesson for Australia is obvious. If we get vaccination rates up above 50%, we too can kiss goodbye to lockdowns and get back our freedom.

Get the jab.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.