Spiralling Chinese megadeveloper forms Australian black hole

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Evergrande. Remember the name. Because it may just be forming the dark nucleus of an economic singulatory in China that will suck Australia across an income shock event horizon.

Throughout 2021, I’ve been tracking the evolution of a new policy regime for Chinese mega-developers called the “three red-lines”. It aims to deleverage one of China’s wildest and most indebted economic sectors to help slow over-building and encourage economic restructuring towards more productive uses of capital.

Evergrande is China’s largest and most indebted developer. It has so far completely failed to meet the new constraints of the “three red-lines” policy.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.