Readers will know that we are of the view that China has entered a new round deleveraging and economic restructuring that will crash commodity prices in due course. This plan is two-pronged. It aims to slow the development sector to end overbuilding. And it aims to deleverage local governments as well.
I have already discussed at length that local government borrowing cratered through the first five months of the year, filling just 26% of quotas that are usually exhausted by October. Now Reuters is reporting that Bejing has unexpectedly cut the quotas:
- The Ministry of Finance cut the local government borrowing limit from 4.47tr yuan to 4.27tr.
- This may indicate that Bejing is increasingly satisfied with growth at current levels.