RBA index of commodity price soars

As expected:

Preliminary estimates for January indicate that the index increased by 7.3 per cent (on a monthly average basis) in SDR terms, after increasing by 8.5 per cent in December (revised). The non-rural, rural and base metals sub-indices all increased in the month. In Australian dollar terms, the index increased by 4.8 per cent in January.

Over the past year, the index has increased by 19.7 per cent in SDR terms, led by higher iron ore prices. The index has increased by 11.4 per cent in Australian dollar terms.

Consistent with previous releases, preliminary estimates for iron ore, coking coal, thermal coal and LNG export prices are being used for the most recent months, based on market information. Using spot prices for the bulk commodities, the index increased by 6.3 per cent in January in SDR terms, to be 24.2 per cent higher over the past year.

For further details regarding the construction of the index, please refer to ‘Changes to the RBA Index of Commodity Prices: 2013’ in the March 2013 issue of the Bulletin and ‘Weights for the Index of Commodity Prices’ (April 2020).

Details are in the attached table and graph.

Graph: RBA Index of Commodity Prices

Thanks China trade war!

David Llewellyn-Smith
Latest posts by David Llewellyn-Smith (see all)

Comments

  1. Historically Ore prices fall by minimum $30-$50 after large price peaks. Ore will be $120 (possibly lower) within 3 months and below $100 within 3-6 months.

    Bookmark it.

Leave a reply

You must be logged in to post a comment. Log in now