Israel proves that vaccination works

Israel has become somewhat of a global experiment on the global COVID vaccination front.

It has rolled out vaccines at the fastest pace in the world, with around half of Israel’s population having received the first dose of Pfizer’s two-shot regime and around one-third having received both shots.

The initial results are promising with two studies suggesting that COVID vaccines prevent infection and, therefore, help stop transmission from person to person.

The first study published in the British medical journal the Lancet, but has yet to be peer-reviewed, was by researchers from Chaim Sheba Medical Centre. It compared healthcare workers that had been immunised with the Pfizer vaccine against those that had not and found the vaccine was 75% effective at preventing both symptomatic and asymptomatic cases of COVID-19 at 15 to 28 days after the first dose.

The second study by Pfizer and the Israeli Health Ministry has neither been peer-reviewed nor officially published; although a draft was leaked on Twitter. It found the vaccine to be over 89% effective at preventing infections.

The macro-level data is also encouraging, showing a marked reduction in new daily COVID-19 cases:

A sharp reduction in active cases:

And a sharp fall in daily deaths:

In response, the Israeli Government has now eased restrictions across the country, with those vaccinated receiving additional perks like being permitted back into gyms, movie theatres and swimming pools.

These encouraging results should give other governments around the world confidence to push on with vaccinating their populations.

In Australia’s case, front-line staff like medical and quarantine workers should be given priority, since they are the key gateways for seeding the virus from quarantine into the community. Vulnerable members of society, like the elderly, should also be moved to the front of the queue.

Let’s get the vaccinations rolling so that we can end the lockdowns and get back to some semblance of normal life.

Unconventional Economist
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Comments

  1. It is a race against the variants. Our aged parents are being vaccinated today in Brisbane but looking around the world today cases are rising in India, Europe and Ontario again because the variants are spreading quickly now. No doubt soon to come to the US as well with the snow melting and people getting around again. The Yanks are vaccinating a lot of people but it is a scatter gun approach……you have to wonder about their planning processes.

    • FUDINTHENUDMEMBER

      Yeh US is gonna be cooked again 6-8 weeks. Variants + false sense of security + many folks are just over it. Real race with the vaccines out there.

      • Jumping jack flash

        Agree and agree.

        Fortunately this one doesn’t seem to mutate as quickly as regular flu, at least not yet, so they will presumably get a bit of extra time for vaccine development for new variants compared to regular flu, and they won’t need to go down the path of trying to predict mutations, with questionable accuracy.

  2. I’m confused, why do you need a certificate when you’ve already got the nanochips and have already been changed into a different lifeform because your DNA got got?

  3. This is encouraging but still a long way from evidence that it stops transmission:
    “Lack of active laboratory surveillance in the cohort might have resulted in an underestimation of asymptomatic cases. ”

    Which means they weren’t actively testing everyone all the time. So we still don’t know how many asymptomatic infections there were in this cohort.

  4. And c’mon…”proves that vaccination works”….there’s hyperbole, then there’s dishonesty

    • His devotees are foaming at the mouth rabid. On par with Trumpeteers and brexiteers. Accidentally landed on a Facebook page they were ranting in

  5. Quarantine Madness

    I’m not convinced how well the vaccines are working.

    There weren’t any vaccines in September yet cases spiked then fell.

    Israel has been in lockdown since late December. Is it merely the lockdown again that caused cases to fall or the vaccine?

    Either way, cases are going to continue to fall in Israel for the next 6 months as temperature heats up, people spend less time confined indoors, people get more Vitamin D.

    Not that I think the virus is a big deal anyway.

    • TheLambKingMEMBER

      I’m not convinced how well the vaccines are working.

      Luckily we don’t listen to anti-vaxxers for our science!!

      Here is some science education:

      It compared healthcare workers that had been immunised with the Pfizer vaccine against those that had not and found the vaccine was 75% effective at preventing both symptomatic and asymptomatic cases of COVID-19 at 15 to 28 days after the first dose.

      So they have 2 groups of people, one group vaccinated, one not. They found that the people vaccinated got less cases of covid-10. Both groups were in the same condition of lockdowns and temperatures and sunlight. As the only difference is the vaccination (they look and account for all other differences in studies to prevent correlation errors), they KNOW that the vaccinations work! Actually, they knew the vaccines work from the trials, this just reinforced that the vaccine works and works in the real world

      • Quarantine Madness

        “Luckily we don’t listen to anti-vaxxers for our science!!”

        Neither do I. I’ve taken all vaccines I’ve needed to take. It’s not clear how effective these COVID vaccines are though.

        No-one really know to what degree it stop the virus from spreading since it suppresses the diseases rather than stops infection with the virus. They admit it themselves.

      • @Lambast
        xcept that’s not what he said.

        I find it silly to come into defence of others on forums, let alone in a place where dissent is penalised by a ban. This is not a defence of prior post, it is addressed at Lambo’s.

        Claim above is that there may be overlap of several factors affecting downturn in new infections and that the conclusion that vax works “efficiently” is not a vertical logical deduction. Simplified: claim re Pfizer is not a proof of efficiency beyond doubt (as DLS claims too)
        Sheer science.
        Otoh we have religious types whom are unwilling to project a single critical thought, hiding behind appeal to authority, zealously defending something without even rudimentally understanding it.

  6. it s likely the vaccine has an impact, but covid is dropping similarly almost everywhere, vaccine or not, lockdown or not

    • There maybe a certain amount of herd immunity in some area’s but that may not work for new, possibly new more vicious or contagious strains ie UK strain, Brazil or South African.

      Who knows what will pop up out of the viral lolly box next?

      Preventing and vaccinating is the best way to stop mutations from happening.

  7. Not quite correct.
    Most countries in the Northern Hemisphere have had cases and deaths steadily declining for months, regardless of whether a vaccine was employed in the population or not.
    Also, Israel had one of the highest test/capita rates, and case/capita rates (similar to US), so most likely has reached some kind of “peak active case” scenario (or what others call “herd immunity”).
    I agree with your conclusion though, even if the vaccines are a bit of a fraud, if mass-vaccination is what it takes to get us back to “normal” then let’s proceed.

  8. TheLambKingMEMBER

    Why do we have so many people here who are anti-science and anti-facts?

    it s likely the vaccine has an impact, but covid is dropping similarly almost everywhere, vaccine or not, lockdown or not

    Most countries in the Northern Hemisphere have had cases and deaths steadily declining for months, regardless of whether a vaccine was employed in the population or not.

    No. No, that is not the case. Cases and deaths are only declining in locations where vaccinations are occurring or some form of lockdowns are happening – and in most place now, both!

    even if the vaccines are a bit of a fraud

    No. No they are not. They have been proven to work. They have been proven to work in large trials AND now in the real world. Do you think that vaccines like the polio one are a fraud as well?

    • Ugh. To people like you there are just true believers and anti-vax quacks. No middle ground.

      Let’s be clear: nothing has been proven. What we have is clinical data examining certain groups under certain conditions. That data suggests the vaccine is effective at reducing symptoms but tell us nothing about transmission, durability, side effects. There is still a lot of uncertainty – something the study you quote openly acknowledges…

      “Data on vaccine efficacy in preventing asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection are scarce, and our results of rate reductions in SARS-CoV-2 infections, which include asymptomatic HCWs, need further validation through active surveillance and sampling of vaccinated people and unvaccinated controls to ascertain the actual reduction of asymptomatic infection in vaccinated individuals.”

      If you could actually think for yourself you would realise that’s an admission that this study is a long way from “proof.”

  9. The FUD around here about the vaccines is outstanding. Hospitalisations and deaths going down, na its not the vaccines, it must be the kool aid.

    • Quarantine Madness

      It’s not clear how well the vaccines are working because Israel has been under lockdown.

      Also, the second wave in September/October was crushed without vaccines.

      • Also, the second wave in September/October was crushed without vaccines. Please tell me which countries outside of Aus were smashing it, because September is still the tail wind of summer for the Northern Hemisphere..

        If you look at that graph there time continues past September at it was going back up.

      • TheLambKingMEMBER

        It’s not clear how well the vaccines are working because Israel has been under lockdown.

        No, it is clear! I explained it above – they have a group with vaccines and a group without, both under lockdown. The vaccine is being shown to work because the vaccinated group are getting the virus less under the same conditions!

        • Quarantine Madness

          Given Israel’s high number of vaccines I would have expected cases and deaths to have been virtually eliminated. This just looks like a second wave being suppressed via a two month lockdown which Israel just came out of.

          I’ll believe it when I see hard evidence. The data just points to the lockdown working at the moment. They flattened the curve in October through a different lockdown as well.

          Let’s not forget we don’t know the long term effects of these vaccines. If Australians remain captive in their own country then there is not one reason to take this vaccine since there’s virtually no chance of getting the virus and virtually no chance of dying if you’re under 50.

  10. Mr SquiggleMEMBER

    I just read the Lancet article, noting it is not yet peer reviewed. The key section seems to be:
    “…there were 170 SARS-COV-2 inflections among the Health Care Workers in the period between Dec 19, 2020 and Jan 24, 2021 …. Of the 170 HCWs who became infected, 89 (52%) were unvaccinated, 78 (46%) tested positive AFTER THE FIRST DOSE and three (2%) tested positive AFTER THE SECOND DOSE. (the capitals are from me, not the Lancet).

    So, 48% of the people who got COVID did so after getting the jab. And somehow this equates to 75% efficacy??????