Glasenberg: Pilbara killer is go

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The recent Chinese trade war on itself via Australia has contributed to tremendous rises in the iron ore price. If it needed any further convincing, this has tipped the scale for the CCP’s long-held dream of creating a substantial African iron ore alternative.Departing Glencore chief executive Ivan Glasenberg, who knows a thing or two about dodgy emerging market regimes, today confirms it at the AFR where he says:

  • Development of Simandou is certain. “Personally yes, I am very certain.”
  • Aussie coal is banned for good.
  • South Africa has taken the market share and Aussie coal was now going to India to fill the gap left by South Africa. Fungibility people!

Long term, iron ore is buggered. I am very certain.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.