Iron ore prices for November 19, 2020:
You will read elsewhere that Chinese demand for steel is booming and that is driving up prices. This is wrong. This is pure seasonality and iron ore is driving up steel prices despite record-high inventories seasonally-adjusted:
This is the year-end restock I have warned about for months. It will run through much of Q1 as well and may even spike if La Nina dumps heavy rains on Brazil.
But seasonal it is and the price will crash into Q2 as supply meets declining underlying demand. Empties are slowing in trend terms:
This si the blow-off before the bust.