Commodity price index rises some more

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The RBA has released its commodity price index for September, which rose 1.5% in SDR (currency weighted) terms – the key determinant of the terms-of-trade – but fell by 5.8% over the year:

Preliminary estimates for September indicate that the index increased by 1.5 per cent (on a monthly average basis) in SDR terms, after increasing by 0.2 per cent in August (revised). The non rural, rural and base metals sub-indices all increased in the month. In Australian dollar terms, the index increased by 1.1 per cent in September.

Over the past year, the index has decreased by 5.8 per cent in SDR terms, led by lower LNG and coal prices. The index has decreased by 8.5 per cent in Australian dollar terms.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.