China keeps credit pedal to the metal

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China’s PBOC released new yuan loans for September last night it remains credit pedal to the metal with total social financing at 3.48tr yuan of which 1.9tr was bank lending:

The non-bank share has rebound strongly but that is distorted by the inclusion of local government bonds these days:

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The three month moving average of new credit is a very solid block:

The rolling annual is a rocket ship:

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M2 is strong at 10.9%:

And broad credit is once again off to the races:

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Put another way, to achieve such credit growth from such a high base, China is binging on debt in a manner never before seen:

Obviously, it is commodity price supportive while it lasts.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.