Links 7 May 2020
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Global Macro / Markets / Investing:
- Airbnb is laying off a quarter of its staff – Vox
- How Bailout Backlash and Moral Hazard Outrage Could Endanger the Economy – NY Times
- Investors’ No. 1 concern is a US-China political face-off, says economist – CNBC
- Global Oil Demand Starts a Long, Painful and Uncertain Recovery – Bloomberg
Americas:
- Millions of baby boomers are getting caught in the country’s broken retirement system – Washington Post
- United Airlines to cut 30% of management in October and braces pilots for changes as well – CNBC
- U.S. Household Debt Reaches Yet Another Record on Home Loans – Bloomberg
- Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Increases to 7.54% – MBA
- U.S. trade deficit soars 12% in March as coronavirus slams exporters and tourism – MarketWatch
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Europe:
- British car sales fell by 97% in April to 4,321. The lowest figure since February 1946. – BBC
- German court calls on ECB to justify bond-buying programme – FT
- The EU programs for workers support have reached up to 40 million people – Economo
- Economic activity in the UK reported an unprecedented decline in April – Economo
- In 3Q19, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain (the 4 largest EU economies) each had >60% debt to GDP, which is the maximum benchmark for new EU applicants – Statista
- ECB to Lend to Europe’s Banks at a Negative Interest Rate – Fool
Asia:
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- China’s overseas lending and the looming developing country debt crisis – Vox EU
- White House to ‘turbocharge’ plans to remove China from global supply chains – ShareCast
- China Is Bargain Hunting—and Western Security Is at Risk – Foreign Policy
- Japan: GDP forecast to shrink by 33% in quarter due to COVID-19 crisis – Asahi
- Trump administration pushing to rip global supply chains from China: officials – Reuters
- Indonesian economy sees weakest growth in almost two decades – South East Asia Globe
Trans-Tasman:
- Scott Morrison is now very popular in Australia. He hasn’t earned that. – Washington Post
- Coalition accused of dragging out legal battle to hide documents on $1.3bn arms deal – The Guardian
- Andrew Constance pulls out of Liberal pre-selection race for Eden-Monaro by-election – ABC
- Foxtel signs massive deal with WarnerMedia for HBOMax content – News.com
- Australians may not be ready to go back to normal even if coronavirus restrictions are lifted, survey finds – ABC
- Coronavirus numbers have put Australia’s growth factor back above one — should we be worried? – ABC
- Scott Morrison says Australia is doing better on COVID-19 than New Zealand despite a less extreme lockdown. Is he correct? – ABC
- Vaccine optimism is misplaced, the COVID-19 breakthrough will come elsewhere – The SMH
- Australian restaurants and cafes present plans to come out of coronavirus shutdown – The Guardian
- Coalition has ‘no excuse’ not to extend jobseeker to visa holders, ACTU says – The Guardian
- Cash is no longer King – except, apparently, in a pandemic – Interest.co.nz
- RBNZ: At Level 2 GDP will be 91% that of normal times – Interest.co.nz
- The unemployment calm before the storm – Interest.co.nz
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About the author

Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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