How long before Chinese steel firms declare iron ore force majeure?

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Via CNBC comes the nightmare scenario:

With 60% of China’s population now in urban areas, compared to 60% rural in 2003, and passenger journeys by air increasing to 660 million from 80 million, he suggested that the cost of shutting down huge cities had not been properly priced in.

…“A huge tranche of the urban population is shut down, a huge tranche of business, so a lot of Chinese companies are just going to have to declare force majeure and shut down orders.”

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.