China ready to do a trade deal?

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Via Gottiboff today comes a rare window of rationality:

President Xi had to decide whether to quell the Hong Kong protests before the national celebration day on October 1 or pursue a trade deal with the US. He could not do both. There is already strong anti-China sentiment in the US and a brutal putting down of the Hong Kong protesters would have created a climate that made a trade deal impossible.

…Xi and his advisers have discovered that China depends on the US for technology much more than was initially believed. Accordingly China believes it needs to spend the next five years building up its independence from the US. A truce in the trade war might be costly but it will give China the breathing space to embark on this long-term project.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.