China American Cold War

In mid-2018, the US declared the China American Cold War a go. It comprised a series of ratcheting trade tariffs by the Trump Administration directed at China. these were directed largely at shifting global manufacturing supply chains, especially in technology, away from China. The measures were directed specifically at China’s stated aim of dominating global technology, artificial intelligence and robotics by 2025.

Other dimensions of the growing Great Power conflict included freedom of navigation through the South China Sea where China had constructed series of far-flung militarised atolls that armed the distant approaches to its mainland and effectively claimed that ocean as sovereign Chinese.

The Cold War was also concentrated around Chinese ‘sharp power’ which had made significant inroads in influencing policy outcomes within the US alliance network in and around the Asia Pacific via bribes, debt diplomacy and corruption of media.

The China American Cold War showed all of the characteristics of an historic, ideological struggle between liberal democracy and statist growth that had defined the 20th century battle between the US and the Soviet Union.

26

What kind of war did Albo just declare on China?

PMAlbo is warmongering in Europe: Anthony Albanese says it is “critical” that long-term pressure is applied to Russia over its invasion of Ukraine to send a strong signal to China. Speaking in Madrid before attending the biggest NATO summit ever held, the Prime Minister said the 30-member security alliance was well aware that China had been

27

Brilliant Beijing refuffs Albo’s cowards

In the latest installment of the bizarre and wonderful annals of Beijing looking after the Australian national interest much better than Canberra does we have got this: Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin has defended Beijing’s trade sanctions on $20bn worth of Australian exports, saying the measures were “legitimate, lawful and beyond reproach.” Mr Wang

12

Albo signs Australia up to another mega trade bloc

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has committed to joining the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity, a new 13-nation economic bloc. The alliance has been proposed by US President Joe Biden as an alternative to the 11-nation Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). The new economic bloc will include Australia, the US, New Zealand, India, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore,

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Taiwan is next

I feel for the people of Ukraine but they are largely irrelevant in geopolitical terms. No great power is coming to their rescue and the conflict will be shaped by whatever they choose it to be. My hope is they will fight Russia into a long-term quagmire, and liberal democracies should supply them on that

24

China’s soft reply to Olympic ban a clear danger

Where have all the wolf warriors gone? Here’s the Chinese embassy’s weak-kneed response to the Australian Olympic boycott: The Chinese Embassy in Australia noticed that today the Australian side announced that its officials wouldn’t attend the Beijing Winter Olympics, and also noticed that Australian Olympic Committee President shared information on Australian athletes’ participation in the Beijing Winter Olympics not long

9

Time Beijing banned Chinese students Downunder

Sadly, the ponzi-economy is returning: Around 200,000 eligible visa holders with recognized immunization certificates are expected to arrive in the few months following the December 1 easing, after Prime Minister Scott Morrison on Monday announced a further softening of international travel bans. Skilled workers and students, as well as refugee, humanitarian, temporary and provisional visa

5

Taiwan war recedes

Lombard with the note: The recent flurry of geopolitical developments over Taiwan is likely to lead to an even more grinding stalemate rather than an acceleration toward conflict with a Chinese invasion of the island, which we continue to regard as unlikely in the near to mid-term. Despite the recent Pentagon report detailing a PLA

7

US-China detente, not

Bill Bishop of Sinocism with the note: The expectations for the Biden-Xi video chat were low and they were met. The fact that they are talking is positive, and it sounds like the September call between the leaders created conditions with the PRC system for lower-level officials to start engaging more constructively on some issues.

21

The real “Australian moment” has arrived

Some readers will recall the hubristic note penned by George Megalogenis in 2012 called The Australian moment which claimed “Australia has been able to weather recent world economic problems relatively unscathed”: He examines how we developed from a closed economy racked by the oil shocks, toughed it out during the sometimes devastating growing pains of

33

Gareth Evans nails AUKUS

Finally, somebody in Labor has used their brain. Gareth Evans, a former foreign minister of Australia, is President Emeritus of the International Crisis Group, co-chairman of the International Commission on Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, founding convener of the Asia-Pacific Leadership Network for Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, and an honorary professor at Australian National University at

21

Stan Grant must jettison his Chinese appliances

Should you throw away your Chinese phone? Consumers should throw away their Chinese phones and avoid buying new ones, Lithuania’s Defence Ministry has warned. A report by its National Cyber Security Centre tested 5G mobiles from Chinese manufacturers. It claimed that one Xiaomi phone had built-in censorship tools while another Huawei model had security flaws.

36

Mirabile dictu: US ends war in Afghanistan

It’s over thankfully: The U.S. officially ended its military presence in Afghanistan on Tuesday with the final flight out of Kabul, concluding two decades of American involvement touched off by the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. Bravo. Only fifteen years too late. The US will be immeasurably stronger for the withdrawal in every way. It will

10

China mocks Australia as it cuts steel exports

More wolf warrior diplomacy today at The Global Times: China’s steel shipments to Australia have dwindled by more than 50 percent in recent months, faster than the country’s overall steel export plunge, and the trend is set to further accelerate, as China takes more measures to cut output and restrict exports, industry insiders said. China’s

26

Turnbull, Rudd demand soft China rhetoric

From The Guardian comes some sort of sense: Former Australian prime ministers Malcolm Turnbull and Kevin Rudd have urged the federal government not to ramp up rhetoric against China for domestic political purposes, arguing it could harm social cohesion. Turnbull said he worried “that some of the political rhetoric, if played for the local rightwing

35

Payne slams China’s 14 conditions as Albo kisses Beijing’s ring

Bravo Marise Payne, Minister for Foreign Affairs: “We have been advised by China that they will only engage in high-level dialogue if we meet certain conditions. Australia ­places no conditions on dialogue,” she told the Australia China Business Council’s annual Canberra gathering. “We can’t meet the conditions, such as the now well-known list of 14

11

Will Europe fight China?

Readers will know that I see Europe as the key swing entity in the long-term battle to contain Communist China. If Europe joins the US in boycotting Chinese goods and capital markets over time as the CCP becomes ever more hostile and militaristic then the battle is won before it begins. Rabo has a new

2

War in Taiwan not coming…yet

TS Lombard with the note. I agree with this. But the risks rise as the Chinese economy goes ex-growth and CCP legitimacy slides: China’s growing military assertiveness towards Taiwan over the past 18 months has deepened concerns that it is preparing to invade. But the increasingly vocal minority who argue that rising tensions along the

20

China readies new nuclear arsenal

Via Sinocism: China Is Building A Second Nuclear Missile Silo Field – Federation Of American Scientists Satellite images reveal that China is building a second nuclear missile silo field. The discovery follows the report earlier this month that China appears to be constructing 120 missile silos near Yumen in Gansu province. The second missile silo

19

China goes all-in on Fort Derrick COVID origins

When post-truth becomes the fog of war, via Sinocism today: Global Times: ‘Political virus also needs origin tracing’ as US politicizes, stigmatizes epidemic: FM Wang Yi The coronavirus needs origins-tracing, and so does the political virus, said Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi, noting that the US has been trying to politicize the