It’s over thankfully: The U.S. officially ended its military presence in Afghanistan on Tuesday with the final flight out of Kabul, concluding two decades of American involvement touched off by the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. Bravo. Only fifteen years too late. The US will be immeasurably stronger for the withdrawal in every way. It will
In mid-2018, the US declared the China American Cold War a go. It comprised a series of ratcheting trade tariffs by the Trump Administration directed at China. these were directed largely at shifting global manufacturing supply chains, especially in technology, away from China. The measures were directed specifically at China’s stated aim of dominating global technology, artificial intelligence and robotics by 2025.
Other dimensions of the growing Great Power conflict included freedom of navigation through the South China Sea where China had constructed series of far-flung militarised atolls that armed the distant approaches to its mainland and effectively claimed that ocean as sovereign Chinese.
The Cold War was also concentrated around Chinese ‘sharp power’ which had made significant inroads in influencing policy outcomes within the US alliance network in and around the Asia Pacific via bribes, debt diplomacy and corruption of media.
The China American Cold War showed all of the characteristics of an historic, ideological struggle between liberal democracy and statist growth that had defined the 20th century battle between the US and the Soviet Union.
More wolf warrior diplomacy today at The Global Times: China’s steel shipments to Australia have dwindled by more than 50 percent in recent months, faster than the country’s overall steel export plunge, and the trend is set to further accelerate, as China takes more measures to cut output and restrict exports, industry insiders said. China’s
From The Guardian comes some sort of sense: Former Australian prime ministers Malcolm Turnbull and Kevin Rudd have urged the federal government not to ramp up rhetoric against China for domestic political purposes, arguing it could harm social cohesion. Turnbull said he worried “that some of the political rhetoric, if played for the local rightwing
Bravo Marise Payne, Minister for Foreign Affairs: “We have been advised by China that they will only engage in high-level dialogue if we meet certain conditions. Australia places no conditions on dialogue,” she told the Australia China Business Council’s annual Canberra gathering. “We can’t meet the conditions, such as the now well-known list of 14
Readers will know that I see Europe as the key swing entity in the long-term battle to contain Communist China. If Europe joins the US in boycotting Chinese goods and capital markets over time as the CCP becomes ever more hostile and militaristic then the battle is won before it begins. Rabo has a new
TS Lombard with the note. I agree with this. But the risks rise as the Chinese economy goes ex-growth and CCP legitimacy slides: China’s growing military assertiveness towards Taiwan over the past 18 months has deepened concerns that it is preparing to invade. But the increasingly vocal minority who argue that rising tensions along the
Via Sinocism: China Is Building A Second Nuclear Missile Silo Field – Federation Of American Scientists Satellite images reveal that China is building a second nuclear missile silo field. The discovery follows the report earlier this month that China appears to be constructing 120 missile silos near Yumen in Gansu province. The second missile silo
When post-truth becomes the fog of war, via Sinocism today: Global Times: ‘Political virus also needs origin tracing’ as US politicizes, stigmatizes epidemic: FM Wang Yi The coronavirus needs origins-tracing, and so does the political virus, said Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi, noting that the US has been trying to politicize the
Excerpted from “The Long Game: China’s Grand Strategy to Displace American Order”, provided by Sinocism and Oxford University Press. Rush Doshi is the founding director of the Brookings China Strategy Initiative and a fellow (on leave) at Yale Law School’s Paul Tsai China Center. Previously, he was a member of the Asia policy working groups for
The question for every China apologist in Australia is which freedoms are they happy to give up to make friends with the CCP? The list is crystal clear, delivered directly from Beijing: It’s a trick question, of course, because giving into one is giving in to all. When Bejing smells blood in the water it
Pig Iron Scott’s storm troopers are upset that China is spying on Australia on the high seas, via the UK Express (there are now two spy ships): The Australian military is keeping tabs on the PLA naval surveillance ship, Tianwangxing, as it travels towards Queensland waters off the country’s north-east coast. The vessel is widely
Macquarie’s magnificent Viktor Schvets on the tough choices facing China: While quantifying grow this always more of an art than a science, in China it is even more so. Based on the Soviet-style production and growth targets (vs expenditure derived ex-post estimates elsewhere), China’s economic results are even more opaque than usual. This has created
The magnificent Viktor Schvets of Macquarie with the note: No decoupling but supply chains will focus on competing blocks •In Oct ’57, Soviets surprised the world by launching the first satellite (‘Sputnik’). While the US defence secretary dismissed it as a ‘useless hunk of iron’, Edward Teller (father of the hydrogen bomb)was more prescient, describing
Last weekend, Paul Kelly revealed that Australia’s disordered PM, Scott Morrison, recently attended the G7 meeting for one purpose only (given Australia is not in the G7). Morrison presented to the world caucus of free nations the document that China delivered Australia at the height of its recent trade war. The 14 conditions to end
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard with the note: Defectors invariably paint their erstwhile regimes in the grimmest of colours. Cai Xia’s forensic broadside on the 100th anniversary of the Communist Party of China (CCP) is as grim as it gets. Professor Cai taught for 15 years at the Central Party School, the sanctum sanctorum of the Communist elite
Analysts are shocked that Australians have taken umbrage with being spat upon daily by China. They are even more shocked that this might mean that China’s intentions are less than benign. The Guardian is outraged: More than four in 10 Australians are worried China may attack Australia, according to new polling, expressing a level of
Bloomberg is running an interesting study on what it will take for China to surpass the US economically in the decades ahead. It is much more difficult than Australia’s crop of CCP useful idiots would have you believe. Music to my ears: If Xi delivers reform and Biden does not pass infrastructure stimulus then China
You can read the local China apologia from Xi Jinping’s cadre of local useful idiots today, Stan Grant and James Curran, both of whom continue to dodge the question: which parts of liberal democracy are they prepared to sacrifice for a better relationship with the CCP? Or you can read this excellent piece from Ho-fung
From Xi Jinping last week: China’s strongman leader Xi Jinping has threatened a “wall of steel” will confront any country that tries to bully his rising power. Thousands of comrades cheered President Xi as he struck an aggressively nationalistic tone during a major speech on Thursday to mark the 100th anniversary of the Chinese Communist
As the CCP makes a song and dance about one hundred years of persecuting Chinese peoples, Xi Jinping’s local cohort of useful idiots are hard at it again. The frame of reference is always the same: Chinese greatness is inevitable. Australia must engage China. Whitlam is the template. For samples of this today you can
Via Pew: Across advanced economies in Europe, North America and the Asia-Pacific region, few people think the Chinese government respects the personal freedoms of its people. In 15 of the 17 publics surveyed by Pew Research Center, eight-in-ten or more hold this view. This sense is also at or near historic highs in nearly every
Some terrific material was offered over the weekend by The Australian on the fiftieth anniversary of Gough Whitlam’s historic visit to China which began an opening-up process for a hermit kingdom that was to become a superpower. The Australian reran a bunch of pieces authored by Gough at the time. They are marvelous reading. It
Australia’s number one patriot, the former trade minister that negotiated the China FTA and the leasing of Darwin Port to Chinese interests before going to work for the new owner shortly afterwards, has declared it’s fine to seize it back: Landbridge says if it happens then it’ll spike sovereign risk. For all not investors not
You have probably seen retiring DFAT head Frances Adamson’s speech at the Press Club yesterday. It’s the usual guff about not wanting to contain China etc. It was in the Q&A that she really lit up: In her final speech before stepping down as secretary of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Frances Adamson
I mean you: Hugh White, Geoff Raby, Stan Grant, Jane Golley, James Curran, James Laurenceson and the entire ALP. This piece by Daniel H. Rosen in Foreign Affairs wipes the floor with the false assumption of ‘the inevitable rise’ behind all of your China groveling. CHINA’S ECONOMIC RECKONING Many observers look at China and see
You can show a traitor a noose but you can’t stop him from sticking his head in it. For years I have warned prominent Australian investors not to invest in China and watched as they all lost a lot of money. The reason why is not even China’s deteriorating geopolitical circumstances. It is that sovereign
Today I carry on with my recent deconstruction of the writing of Professor James Curran who has swiftly risen in place of Geoff Raby as the AFR’s China apologist de jour. Over the weekend he argued that: The Morrison Government is lost in a dying Anglospheric dream. Recent moves by Dutton to increase American presence
Anyone wondering why the Liberal-National Federal Government did a U-turn on Australia’s relations with China over recent years? Wonder why Australians still aren’t enamoured with the ALP opposition, despite a government coming across as misogynist, incompetent, and prone to pandering to the whims of corporate Australia and the 1%? Ironically, the barely concealed CCP propagandist