China American Cold War

In mid-2018, the US declared the China American Cold War a go. It comprised a series of ratcheting trade tariffs by the Trump Administration directed at China. these were directed largely at shifting global manufacturing supply chains, especially in technology, away from China. The measures were directed specifically at China’s stated aim of dominating global technology, artificial intelligence and robotics by 2025.

Other dimensions of the growing Great Power conflict included freedom of navigation through the South China Sea where China had constructed series of far-flung militarised atolls that armed the distant approaches to its mainland and effectively claimed that ocean as sovereign Chinese.

The Cold War was also concentrated around Chinese ‘sharp power’ which had made significant inroads in influencing policy outcomes within the US alliance network in and around the Asia Pacific via bribes, debt diplomacy and corruption of media.

The China American Cold War showed all of the characteristics of an historic, ideological struggle between liberal democracy and statist growth that had defined the 20th century battle between the US and the Soviet Union.


China’s soft reply to Olympic ban a clear danger

Where have all the wolf warriors gone? Here’s the Chinese embassy’s weak-kneed response to the Australian Olympic boycott: The Chinese Embassy in Australia noticed that today the Australian side announced that its officials wouldn’t attend the Beijing Winter Olympics, and also noticed that Australian Olympic Committee President shared information on Australian athletes’ participation in the Beijing Winter Olympics not long


Time Beijing banned Chinese students Downunder

Sadly, the ponzi-economy is returning: Around 200,000 eligible visa holders with recognized immunization certificates are expected to arrive in the few months following the December 1 easing, after Prime Minister Scott Morrison on Monday announced a further softening of international travel bans. Skilled workers and students, as well as refugee, humanitarian, temporary and provisional visa


Taiwan war recedes

Lombard with the note: The recent flurry of geopolitical developments over Taiwan is likely to lead to an even more grinding stalemate rather than an acceleration toward conflict with a Chinese invasion of the island, which we continue to regard as unlikely in the near to mid-term. Despite the recent Pentagon report detailing a PLA


US-China detente, not

Bill Bishop of Sinocism with the note: The expectations for the Biden-Xi video chat were low and they were met. The fact that they are talking is positive, and it sounds like the September call between the leaders created conditions with the PRC system for lower-level officials to start engaging more constructively on some issues.


The real “Australian moment” has arrived

Some readers will recall the hubristic note penned by George Megalogenis in 2012 called The Australian moment which claimed “Australia has been able to weather recent world economic problems relatively unscathed”: He examines how we developed from a closed economy racked by the oil shocks, toughed it out during the sometimes devastating growing pains of


Gareth Evans nails AUKUS

Finally, somebody in Labor has used their brain. Gareth Evans, a former foreign minister of Australia, is President Emeritus of the International Crisis Group, co-chairman of the International Commission on Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, founding convener of the Asia-Pacific Leadership Network for Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, and an honorary professor at Australian National University at


Stan Grant must jettison his Chinese appliances

Should you throw away your Chinese phone? Consumers should throw away their Chinese phones and avoid buying new ones, Lithuania’s Defence Ministry has warned. A report by its National Cyber Security Centre tested 5G mobiles from Chinese manufacturers. It claimed that one Xiaomi phone had built-in censorship tools while another Huawei model had security flaws.


Mirabile dictu: US ends war in Afghanistan

It’s over thankfully: The U.S. officially ended its military presence in Afghanistan on Tuesday with the final flight out of Kabul, concluding two decades of American involvement touched off by the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. Bravo. Only fifteen years too late. The US will be immeasurably stronger for the withdrawal in every way. It will


China mocks Australia as it cuts steel exports

More wolf warrior diplomacy today at The Global Times: China’s steel shipments to Australia have dwindled by more than 50 percent in recent months, faster than the country’s overall steel export plunge, and the trend is set to further accelerate, as China takes more measures to cut output and restrict exports, industry insiders said. China’s


Turnbull, Rudd demand soft China rhetoric

From The Guardian comes some sort of sense: Former Australian prime ministers Malcolm Turnbull and Kevin Rudd have urged the federal government not to ramp up rhetoric against China for domestic political purposes, arguing it could harm social cohesion. Turnbull said he worried “that some of the political rhetoric, if played for the local rightwing


Payne slams China’s 14 conditions as Albo kisses Beijing’s ring

Bravo Marise Payne, Minister for Foreign Affairs: “We have been advised by China that they will only engage in high-level dialogue if we meet certain conditions. Australia ­places no conditions on dialogue,” she told the Australia China Business Council’s annual Canberra gathering. “We can’t meet the conditions, such as the now well-known list of 14


Will Europe fight China?

Readers will know that I see Europe as the key swing entity in the long-term battle to contain Communist China. If Europe joins the US in boycotting Chinese goods and capital markets over time as the CCP becomes ever more hostile and militaristic then the battle is won before it begins. Rabo has a new


War in Taiwan not coming…yet

TS Lombard with the note. I agree with this. But the risks rise as the Chinese economy goes ex-growth and CCP legitimacy slides: China’s growing military assertiveness towards Taiwan over the past 18 months has deepened concerns that it is preparing to invade. But the increasingly vocal minority who argue that rising tensions along the


China readies new nuclear arsenal

Via Sinocism: China Is Building A Second Nuclear Missile Silo Field – Federation Of American Scientists Satellite images reveal that China is building a second nuclear missile silo field. The discovery follows the report earlier this month that China appears to be constructing 120 missile silos near Yumen in Gansu province. The second missile silo


China goes all-in on Fort Derrick COVID origins

When post-truth becomes the fog of war, via Sinocism today: Global Times: ‘Political virus also needs origin tracing’ as US politicizes, stigmatizes epidemic: FM Wang Yi The coronavirus needs origins-tracing, and so does the political virus, said Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi, noting that the US has been trying to politicize the


Fear a Chinese planet

Excerpted from “The Long Game: China’s Grand Strategy to Displace American Order”, provided by Sinocism and Oxford University Press. Rush Doshi is the founding director of the Brookings China Strategy Initiative and a fellow (on leave) at Yale Law School’s Paul Tsai China Center. Previously, he was a member of the Asia policy working groups for


Morrison whinges as Aussie iron ore returns in Chinese warships

Pig Iron Scott’s storm troopers are upset that China is spying on Australia on the high seas, via the UK Express (there are now two spy ships): The Australian military is keeping tabs on the PLA naval surveillance ship, Tianwangxing, as it travels towards Queensland waters off the country’s north-east coast. The vessel is widely


Schvets on China’s impossible trinity

Macquarie’s magnificent Viktor Schvets on the tough choices facing China: While quantifying grow this always more of an art than a science, in China it is even more so. Based on the Soviet-style production and growth targets (vs expenditure derived ex-post estimates elsewhere), China’s economic results are even more opaque than usual. This has created


Schvets on the US “sputnik moment”

The magnificent Viktor Schvets of Macquarie with the note: No decoupling but supply chains will focus on competing blocks •In Oct ’57, Soviets surprised the world by launching the first satellite (‘Sputnik’). While the US defence secretary dismissed it as a ‘useless hunk of iron’, Edward Teller (father of the hydrogen bomb)was more prescient, describing


AEP: China fooked

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard with the note: Defectors invariably paint their erstwhile regimes in the grimmest of colours. Cai Xia’s forensic broadside on the 100th anniversary of the Communist Party of China (CCP) is as grim as it gets. Professor Cai taught for 15 years at the Central Party School, the sanctum sanctorum of the Communist elite