Australian property prices surge 1% in August

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CoreLogic’s dwelling price results have been released for August, which reveals a strong 1.0% increase in values recorded over the month at the 5-city level, driven by surging values across Sydney (1.6%) and Melbourne (1.4%):

It was the second consecutive monthly rise in home values at the 5-city level, which follows a run of losses extending back to August 2017:

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Over the August quarter, dwelling values rose by 1.1% across the major capitals, the first quarterly rise since October 2017:

Over the August quarter, values surged across Sydney and Melbourne, but fell across the other major capitals:

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The next chart plots quarterly price growth by major capital, which illustrates the massive lift across Sydney and Melbourne, as well as the improvement in Perth:

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In the year to August 2019, home values have fallen by 6.1% at the 5-city level, driven by Sydney (-6.9%), Melbourne (-6.2%) and Perth (-8.8%):

However, the next chart, which tracks trend annual price growth, shows a strong rebound led by Sydney and Melbourne:

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The housing market has clearly turned, led by Sydney and Melbourne where auction clearance rates have rebounded strongly:

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How long the rebound persists is now the big question mark.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.