An Australian travel warning for China

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Via Michael Sainsbury at Crikey:

The arrest of Chinese-Australian author and democracy promoter Yang Hengjun has triggered an overdue but welcome change in attitude by Canberra towards the fate of Australians effectively kidnapped by Beijing’s authoritarian government.

It’s probably wishful to think that Yang, who was originally detained in January 2019 on spying charges, will be released because of this change. But there is another goal here: making sure that accusations of spying are comprehensively denied at the highest levels in Canberra. In that way Beijing should at least give a second thought to treating any other Australian in such appalling fashion.

As Crikey has noted, Foreign Minister Marise Payne has been unusually direct in her criticism of China over Yang’s arrest. She has baldly stated that Yang is not an Australian spy and has all but said that he has been at least mistreated, if not tortured:

“Our post is continuing to advocate with Chinese authorities to ensure that he is detained in a manner which is in accord with international obligations,” she noted. The methods of Chinese interrogators are well documented and breach many international norms.

For too long, Australia’s diplomats in both Beijing and Canberra have peddled a softly, softly approach to Australians detained by Beijing for either dubious — or as in Yang’s case, utterly spurious — reasons.

There has been a long string of Australians locked up in China after business disputes either at the national level or at a local level, where foreign businesspeople have crossed local Communist Party officials. These include Rio Tinto iron ore salesman Stern Hu, Guangzhou-based business people Matthew Ng and Charlotte Chou, and Shandong investor Edward Du. All did significant jail time.

Yang’s case fits somewhere in that narrative, albeit that the current frisson between Canberra and Beijing is more overtly political than it was when Hu became the figurehead for the battle over iron ore prices between Beijing and the mining sector. That stoush was eventually won by the big miners despite Hu’s imprisonment.

Yang was originally detained for what appears to be a combination of an obscure domestic political imperative, perhaps related to the fact he once worked for the Chinese diplomatic apparatus, as well as being a particularly outspoken and popular exponent for political change in China.

Lowy Institute China program director Richard McGregor is spot on when he says that Yang’s case has been amplified by the rapidly deteriorating relationship between Beijing and Canberra. He added that while Yang’s detention may have started as personal it has become part of the broader Australia-China narrative.

For Beijing, the case acts as a warning to both Chinese-Australians and Chinese residents of Australia (such as academic Feng Chongyi who was detained for a week in 2018) that they are not free to speak out against the party. It’s also more generally a warning to any Australian businesspeople, journalists, academics or advocates that they could be plucked by plain clothes police on the streets of Beijing or Shanghai.

Quite right. Indeed, Beijing has been so reckless with its hostage diplomacy that this is one of the primary reasons why I think China’s globalisation period has peaked.

What company executive wants to visit China these days for sensitive business discussions?

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Increasingly that will apply to Hong Kong as well.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.