Chinese PMIs still weak

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From China’s NBS over the weekend:

The manufacturing purchasing managers’ index was unchanged from the previous month.

 In June , the manufacturing PMI was 49.4% , and the manufacturing boom was the same as last month. The main features of this month: First, the overall expansion of production, industrial transformation and upgrading continue to advance. The production index was 51.3% , although it fell 0.4 percentage points from the previous month , but continued to remain in the expansion range. Among the 21 industries surveyed , the production index of 13 industries is located in the expansion range. The production index of pharmaceutical, railway and ship aerospace equipment, refined food for food and beverage, electrical machinery equipment, computer communication electronic equipment, etc. is located at 54.0. A higher boom range above % . From the perspective of key industries, the production indices of high-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing and consumer goods industries were 55.6% , 53.3% and 52.2% , both of which rose from the previous quarter and were higher than the overall manufacturing industry by 4.3 , 2.0 and 0.9 percentage points. The production boom has shown steady and rising, indicating that in the current complex and volatile economic environment, the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry continues to advance, and the promotion of economic growth by the medium and high-end manufacturing and consumer goods manufacturing industries is further enhanced. Second, the market order growth momentum is weak, and the foreign trade development environment is tightening. The new order index was 49.6% , down 0.2 percentage points from the previous month , and was in the contraction interval for two consecutive months. Among them, the new export order index reflecting external demand is 46.3%., 0.2 percentage points lower than the previous month . Third, due to the fluctuation of commodity prices at home and abroad and the changes in supply and demand in some industries, the price index both fell. The purchase price index and ex-factory price index of major raw materials were 49.0% and 45.4% , respectively, down 2.8 and 3.6 percentage points from the previous month , and some industry’s profit growth was affected. Fourth, the company’s expectations for recent market development are basically stable. The expected index of production and operation activities of enterprises is 53.4% , and 18 of the 21 industries surveyed are located in the expansion range. Among them, the expected index of production and operation activities of pharmaceuticals, railway and aerospace equipment and other manufacturing industries is located at a high level of 60.0% .

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.