Miscellaneous

3

Bull trap banks pick up yield bid

AUD is still struggling through the morning: Bonds are paring gains but yields are now trending down nicely. More to come: ASX is hanging on at the cliff’s edge: Dalian has opened with a minor bid: Big Iron likewise: Big Gas is hopeful of an OPEC rescue. I am not: Big Gold has a Fed

8

Car sales keep on crashing

Via FCAI: National motor vehicle sales eclipsed the one million year-to-date sales mark during November 2018, in a month which overall sales were down according to the latestdata released today by the motor industry’s statistical service, VFACTS. National vehicle sales for November reached 93,860, down 7.4 per cent from November 2017. The overall market decline

44

Would you like poo with your burger?

Some light relief today from Maccas as we await the RBA: A study recently conducted by researchers at London Metropolitan University found that touchscreens used by customers at multiple McDonald’s locations were covered in fecal bacteria. Dr. Paul Matawele, one of the lead researchers in the study, explained that the spread of this bacteria could lead

75

Another shock to Aussie growth as drought bites

Via QCL: HORROR receival figures into the GrainCorp storage network highlight the depth of the drought in Australia’s north-eastern cropping zone. Total new-crop grain receivals into the GrainCorp bulk handling network as of November 5 totaled just 93,300 tonnes, with Victorian deliveries, traditionally not a major factor until December, making up over a quarter of the tally. And

562

Weekend Links, 3-4 November, 2018

Sheep Country, Burra, 1950, Douglas Dundas, Art Gallery of NSW   Markets and Macro Gold buying by central banks hits its highest level in almost three years – CNBC Trump says he and China’s Xi had good exchange on trade – Nikkei Asian Review Start-Ups Ask, ‘Are We Making Money for Saudi Arabia?’ – NY

22

Energy carteliers take a huge shit upon you

There is no way to sugar coat this so you’re getting it straight today. These guys are incorrigible, at the AFR: The chief executives of Origin Energy, AGL Energy and their smaller electricity retailing competitors look set to have a united and firm message for Energy Minister Angus Taylor at the “roundtable” he has convened

9

MacroBusiness Chartfest 13-14 October, 2018

        Australia Australia Consumer Confidence         Australia – Housing Approvals not yet commenced         Australia Housing – Average Loan Size       ; Australia – Housing Prices by City         Australia – New Dwelling Completions         Australia – Dwelling

43

Aussie dieticians backflip on nutritional guidelines

By Leith van Onselen Back in 2016 I penned an article, “Aussie dieticians are wrong about fat”, which criticised Australian dieticians’ staunch defence of existing failed dietary guidelines that promote a high carbohydrate / low fat diet: Since the Australian food pyramid was first introduced in 1982, it has told Australians to consume large quantities

2

MB Fund Live Webinar – Australian Dollar Reflation? (Today)

Join us today as MB Fund Head of Investments, Damien Klassen, Chief Strategist David Llewellyn Smith and Tim Fuller discuss the future of the Pacific Peso. – What is sitting behind the recent fall in the AUD? – Can the current drivers be relied upon for future direction? – How is the Emerging Markets Crisis and Trumps Trade

28

MB Fund seminar – Sydney today!

After a full year in the office, we are happy to announce round two of the MB Fund seminar series. This year’s agenda is, of course, The Great Australian Housing Crash! Come one and come all to see (and meet) Leith van Onselen, David Llewellyn-Smith and Damien Klassen as they discuss just how fast and

20

MacroBusiness Chartfest September 1-2, 2018

  Australia       Australia – Economic Policy Uncertainty   Sydney & Melbourne – Auction Clearances   Australian GDP   Coal Production & Consumption    Electricity Generation   Major LNG Plants   Implications of Tightening Lending Standards   Disposable Income by Decile   Loan Rejections   Public Satisfaction with the National Direction   Tobacco

0

Live MB Webinar – The Nervous Investor

Join us today as MB Fund Head of Investments, Damien Klassen, Chief Strategist David Llewellyn Smith and Tim Fuller discuss current market conditions and how someone who is nervous about entering sharemarkets can still take advantage of opportunities. – Capital protection whilst still capturing some upside of shares – When to climb the wall of worry

13

Netflix is dominating the ANZAC pay TV market

By Leith van Onselen Earlier this month, Roy Morgan Research revealed that Netflix had lifted its Australian subscriber base to 9.8 million households after a 30% annual surge in subscribers. By contrast, Foxtel’s subscriber base slid by 2.7% to 5.4 million households: Yesterday, Roy Morgan Research released similar analysis of the New Zealand subscription television market,

7

2018 Sydney MB Fund Seminar announced!

After a full year in the office, we are happy to announce round two of the MB Fund seminar series. This year’s agenda is of course The Great Australian Housing Crash! Come one and come all to see (and meet) Leith van Onselen, David Llewellyn-Smith and Damien Klassen as they discuss just how fast and

14

NDIS to leave most vulnerable behind

By Leith van Onselen I labelled the $22 billion National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) a “bureaucratic nightmare” citing my family’s own personal experience with our 10-year old autistic son. Despite being diagnosed in the “severe range” of autism spectrum disorder, unable to converse or read, and attending a special school, my son was denied funding for

15

2018 MB Fund Melbourne Seminar announced!

After a full year in the office, we are happy to announce round two of the MB Fund seminar series. This year’s agenda is of course The Great Australian Housing Crash! Come one and come all to see (and meet) Leith van Onselen, David Llewellyn-Smith and Damien Klassen as they discuss just how fast and

37

Why Netflix will continue to dominate Foxtel

By Leith van Onselen Yesterday’s Roy Morgan Research survey revealed that Netflix had lifted its Australian subscriber base to 9.8 million households after a 30% annual surge in subscribers. By contrast, Foxtel’s subscriber base slid by 2.7% to 5.4 million households: As Foxtel has lost its monopoly grip on the pay TV space, it has pivoted

38

Disruptive technology and investment

Here is an interesting table from Technology Foresight showing the most disruptive technologies and a timeline for when they are expected. I have shown the most imminent ones below, click the image below for the full table as a pdf: I’m interested in your thoughts (preferably with supporting research or at least some sort of reason to

29

As Netflix rises, Foxtel falls

By Leith van Onselen Online streaming services Netflix and Stan have seen their subscriber base lift while Foxtel’s has fallen, according to Roy Morgan Research: Subscription Video On Demand (SVOD) juggernaut Netflix has continued its impressive growth over the last year with over 9.8 million Australians in the June 2018 quarter now having a Netflix

12

Weekend Chartfest: 4 – 5 August, 2018

Australasia     Australia & New Zealand – Unemployment     Australia & New Zealand – Participation     Australia – Housing Credit & House Prices       Australia – House Prices to Median Income       Australia  – Mortgage broker Share of New Home Loans to 3Q 2017       Australia

14

Weekend Chartfest: 28-29 July 2018

Australia       Australia – Dwelling Prices – Expected v Actuals     Australia – Graduate Visas     Australia – Core Inflation     Australia & New Zealand House Prices and Global Equities     Australia – Employment Growth     Australia -Underlying CPI     Australia – Unemployment & Participation