“Ladies and gentlemen, the Tech Cold War has begun”

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Via Michael Every at Rabobank:

It’s hard to keep up with all the escalation.

Yesterday morning Asian time the worry was that the US was about to turn its fire on Chinese surveillance-camera maker Hikvision, which would obviously have proved damaging to that PLA-linked firm. Yesterday evening the US instead shifted its attention to the UK chip-designer ARM, who has now also stepped away from “all active contracts, support entitlements, and any pending engagements” with Huawei according to the BBC. While ARM is hardly a household name, industry specialists describe the impact of it complying with the ban on Huawei and affiliates, and any Chinese entity the US sees as a similar threat, as an “insurmountable obstacle.” In other words, it is a true business killer – and Bloomberg also reports Washington believes it is closer to persuading the EU to implement a ‘de facto’ ban on Huawei too, if not a formal one, and is leaning on South Korea to join the fight. Meanwhile, other Chinese firms are also rumoured to soon be subject to a US ban: Meggvil, Meiya Pico, and Iflytek – all tech/surveillance firms like Hikvision.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.