Via The Guardian:
Labor has maintained its election-winning lead over the Coalition as the election campaign enters its final fortnight, according to a new Guardian Essential poll.
The survey of 1,079 people shows Labor is leading the Coalition on a two-party preferred basis 52% to 48%, a slight lift within the poll’s margin of error compared to last week, when Labor was ahead 51% to 49%.
But after the start of the election campaign saw the two major parties stage a recovery in their primary vote, support for both major parties has again slumped, suggesting the flow of preferences may still prove critical to the election outcome.
Labor’s primary vote has dropped to 34% compared to 37% a week ago and below the 34.7% it recorded at the last election, while the primary vote for the Liberal and National parties combined remains at 38% – down a point from last week, but unchanged from five weeks ago.
Support for minor parties combined sits at 28%, with the Greens lifting their support from 9% a week ago to 12%, One Nation on 7% and other independents, including Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party, preferred by 9% of voters.
