Dystopian future awaits Sydney’s crush-loaded west

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By Leith van Onselen

Western Sydney is the epicentre of the city’s working class. It is a prime dumping ground for the federal government’s mass immigration ‘Big Australia’ program. And it has become a virtual “special economic zone” where wages can be shredded with impunity by the wealthy owners of capital living in the East.

The below charts tell the story. According to the State Government’s own projections, Sydney’s population will balloon by 1.74 million people in the 20-years to 2036:

With the lion’s share of this growth occurring in Sydney’s West:

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With this background in mind, it’s hardly surprising to read last week that Western Sydney is being turned into a mecca for high-rise units:

The Western Sydney home with a backyard has been booted to the history books as high-rise apartment blocks dominate city centres more than 15km from the city’s CBD.

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With nearly 35,000 units slatted for construction, Western Sydney projects accounted for just under half of Sydney’s entire pipeline of new apartments, CoreLogic-Cordell data showed.

The west’s backlog of projects also exceeded the supply of units due to be built within a 5km radius of the Sydney CBD, which accounted for 13.6 per cent of Harbour City apartment projects.

Whereas over the weekend we read in The Daily Telegraph that “Western Sydney suburbs to cop brunt of new developments”:

Western Sydney will absorb the equivalent of five Newcastles on its fringes to accommodate unprecedented population growth.

What were once vegetable fields and livestock farms that helped feed the city are treeless new suburbs where athletic kids can almost jump from rooftop to rooftop.

Suburbs going from paddock to pavement in the next decade include Vineyard and Marsden Park in the north west, Leppington and Edmondson Park in the south west and Wilton and the Macarthur region south of Campbelltown. These areas will have 333,000 new homes and 322,120 new jobs in the next 20 years.

…the reality for many residents is an over-reliance on their cars, 90 minute commutes, and distance to schools and healthcare. And no trees…

Hornsby Mayor and former immigration minister Philip Ruddock told The Sunday Telegraph [that] “I went to Camden and, quite frankly, when I look at blocks that are cheek by the jowl — with no adequate setbacks, tree planting or appropriate reservations — they are appalling”…

For every two detached houses built in Sydney there are eight apartments erected, according to Infrastructure Australia…

Researcher Dr Jennifer Kent said.. “with an infrastructure lag, the government’s plans for 30-minute commutes across Sydney were currently “an impossible dream… If that’s what we’re basing our hopes for a city on, we’re in trouble,” she said.

The Urban Taskforce projects that Sydney will transform into a high-rise city mid-century, with only one quarter of homes being detached houses, down significantly from 55% currently:

Meanwhile, Infrastructure Australia’s projections show that all liveability markers – traffic congestion and access to jobs, schools, hospitals and green space – will worsen as Sydney’s population balloons to a projected 7.4 million by 2046, irrespective of how the city builds-out:

So basically, only the wealthiest of residents primarily living on the eastern side of Sydney will be able to afford a house with good amenity, whereas the working class will be either stuffed into apartments or forced to live on a postage-stamped sized lot miles from anywhere. This is economic apartheid writ large.

Former Labor leader and Western Sydney resident, Mark Latham, said it best when he penned a call to arms against the immigration ponzi destroying living standards in the West:

Instead of cutting immigration numbers to bring down housing demand and housing prices, Liberal and Labor are focusing on just one side of the housing market: increased supply.

They want to flood the Sydney basin with wall-to-wall urbanisation.

They are building a vast metropolis, extending to Appin in the southwest and abutting the Blue Mountains in the west.

Most of the growth is concentrated in a new residential corridor between Penrith and Camden — building a city the size of Canberra along the spine of the narrow, two-lane Northern Rd.

This is the snake oil of our time: the fantastic notion that in a city ­already heavily congested, we can swamp Western Sydney with new arrivals and new suburbs and somehow the magic of “improved urban planning” will produce a metropolitan ­nirvana…

It will never be a liveable city as long as massive immigration numbers overwhelm our suburbs and clog up our roads…

The business lobbyists, economists and MPs pushing for big migration numbers do so safe in the knowledge that overcrowding and congestion will never affect the gentrified, inner-city boroughs in which they live…

We need an Australia-first migration program, designed for the benefit of the people who live here, not those wanting to come here.

For Western Sydney, this means abandoning Big Australia and limiting population growth into the ­region.

A dystopian future awaits Western Sydney residents under Australia’s mass immigration ‘Big Australia’ policy. It needs to be shredded.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.