Bull trap banks pick up yield bid

Advertisement

AUD is still struggling through the morning:

Bonds are paring gains but yields are now trending down nicely. More to come:

ASX is hanging on at the cliff’s edge:

Advertisement

Dalian has opened with a minor bid:

Big Iron likewise:

Big Gas is hopeful of an OPEC rescue. I am not:

Advertisement

Big Gold has a Fed pause sniff:

Big Banks are still shaky but have gotten a decent bid from bottom feeders in the past 48 hours, perhaps chasing yield as bonds roar:

Advertisement

I’m not sure why. The EPS outlook is lousy:

And although the yield is now approaching a grossed up 10% (for NAB):

Advertisement

You have make the dangerous assumption that dividends won’t be cut as conditions deteriorate when payout ratios are already extreme. Reeks ‘bull trap’ to me.

Big realty is struggling:

Advertisement

Avagoodweekend.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.