Essential: ScoMo buggered

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More ScoMo buggery at The Guardian:

Labor continues to command an election-winning position two months after the Liberal leadership change, and the anticipated loss of Wentworth. The latest Guardian Essential poll finds 59% of respondents say the government Scott Morrison leads has not been refreshed as a consequence of the blood-letting.

This week’s poll has Labor ahead of the Coalition on the two-party preferred measure 53% to 47%, a result that has remained steady for the past month.

A majority – 59% of a sample of 1,027 voters – say the Liberal leadership change in late September has made no difference, and the government remains the same as it was before the shift. Only 20% think the change of prime minister has created a refresh.

Liberal voters prefer Morrison as leader than Turnbull 57% to 29%, and 35% of all voters in the sample say they prefer Morrison to Turnbull’s 28%. Labor and Greens voters were more likely to prefer Turnbull.

News of the poll comes as Morrison will attempt to steady the government’s battered political fortunes by pressing ahead with its agenda to lower power prices, and with a drought summit later in the week.

Counting is continuing in the seat of Wentworth, with independent Kerryn Phelps 1,649 votes ahead of the Liberal candidate, Dave Sharma, on Monday night, which gives her a buffer as postal votes continue to be assessed by the Australian Electoral Commission.

The new Guardian Essential poll shows climate change – which was a significant factor in the Wentworth result – continues to be of concern to a majority of Australian voters.

Just over half the sample, 56%, say Australia is not doing enough to address climate change, while 23% think Australia is doing enough. Voters between 18 and 44, and people with university education, are more likely to worry about the issue.

Liberal National voters are split but they are more likely to think the government is not doing enough (45%) than the reverse.

A comfortable majority – 63% – say climate change is happening and is caused by human activity, and 25% believe we may be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the Earth’s climate.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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