Commodity price index suggests lower terms-of-trade

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By Leith van Onselen

The RBA has released its commodity price index for September, which decreased 0.1% in SDR (currency weighted) terms – the key determinant of the terms-of-trade – but rose by 2.0% in Australian dollar terms:

Preliminary estimates for September indicate that the index decreased by 0.1 per cent (on a monthly average basis) in SDR terms, after being unchanged in August (revised). The non-rural subindex increased in the month, while the rural and base metals indices decreased. In Australian dollar terms, the index increased by 2.0 per cent in September.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.