S&P kicks Australia out of “very low risk” sovereign club

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It’s not yet the sovereign downgrade, but it’s the pre-downgrade downgrade, from S&P:

• In the past two years, information has emerged on the Australian banking system that highlights lapses in governance and risk management. As a result, we are revising our previous view on the competitive dynamics and institutional framework of the Australian banking industry. Nevertheless, we remain of the view that the competitive dynamics and institutional framework of the Australian banking industry remain low risk by global standards.

• At the same time, we now consider that the trend for economic risks faced by the Australian banks has turned positive. We believe that the ongoing orderly unwinding of imbalances–which were built up on the back of several years of strong growth in house prices and private debt–is likely to continue.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.