Oil to crash again?

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So says Rystad Energy:

“Shale is not dead, shale is reborn and has strong growth potential [even] at $US40 to $US50 oil,” said chief executive Jarand Rystad at the opening of the firm’s Sydney office. “It has the potential to again crush the oil market.”

Rystad, one of the few to correctly forecast that US oil output would reach 10 million barrels a day by the end of 2018, is predicting that output could grow to 11.4 million bbl/d by the end of this year and potentially to 12.7 million bbl/day by the end of 2019 thanks to lower costs and higher well productivity.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.